La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d03ee5208e25037d9b89413377c281296f08e9d98e6296a571c879e75a87322
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 63c | 18,588$11,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,817.43 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 16,117$10,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,668.74 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 38c | 15,777$5,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,995.17 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.96 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 14,597$9,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,519.53 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 65c | 13,760$8,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,881.08 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 62c | 12,932$8,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,914.02 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 36c | 11,002$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 64c | 8,073$5,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.34 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 8,026$5,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.1 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 6,663$4,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.54 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 37c | 5,843$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.91 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 38c | 5,369$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.49 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 5,263$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.95 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 36c | 4,371$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.92 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.84 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 33c | 2,800$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 37c | 2,606$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 63c | 2,414$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.31 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 71c | 2,100$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 62c | 1,700$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.78 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 64c | 1,696$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.45 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,667$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 38c | 1,454$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.95 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 63c | 1,291$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.43 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 38c | 1,277$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.26 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 36c | 1,275$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.86 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 38c | 1,246$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.3 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 64c | 1,181$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.48 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 64c | 1,114$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.55 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 63c | 1,100$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 35c | 937.37$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.63 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 38c | 850$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…9104backed No | 63c | 835.13$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 67c | 823.5$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 36c | 819.58$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 37c | 741.67$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 16c | 700$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 65c | 699.78$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 35c | 676.77$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 37c | 593.57$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 581.79$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.75 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 37c | 579.61$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.42 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 20c | 575$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 63c | 550$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…b2eebacked Yes | 36c | 536.83$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 36c | 513$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.28 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Yes | 36c | 497.97$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 38c | 480.37$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.54 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…b35bbacked Yes | 39c | 380.77$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 39c | 380.34$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 136 | 68.4%93 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 30c | 360.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 33c | 346.95$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 65c | 343.08$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.08 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 64c | 342.12$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.11 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 30c | 334.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 62c | 328.87$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Yes | 37c | 328.35$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.49 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 36c | 319.61$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.06 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 35c | 294.35$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcecc…affebacked Yes | 35c | 282.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…78dcbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 36c | 276.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 62c | 274.83$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.44 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 38c | 263.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…c7debacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9475…a29ebacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 61c | 259.85$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.34 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 64c | 250.9$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Yes | 36c | 235$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 22c | 230.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Yes | 36c | 208.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.