TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,260
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,869

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,260 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb784…61d0backed No73c31,000$22,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,369.993847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes37c21,993$8,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,078.121136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+50.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c7,600$4,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,754.394,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes27c6,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes27c5,174$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.9820449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes27c3,704$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.071947.4%9 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+73.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No64c3,125$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.6969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes38c2,873$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1003622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c2,371$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.832,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes3c2,228$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.812251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes27c1,847$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.6610245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No60c1,805$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.073964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes33c1,600$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5281850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No65c1,470$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.3690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes9c1,175$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No64c938.04$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.2558548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No73c816.6$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4811260.7%68 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes28c735.71$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20615832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No63c693.24$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.383,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No72c599.94$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.983650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c562.5$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.51,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68b…b796backed Yes27c548.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509541.1%39 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No73c528.29$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7523452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…06cfbacked No73c421.92$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe309…958dbacked No73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.96580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes27c405$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3535148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1482161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10814427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0c85backed No73c380.82$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.824100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+120%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa689…c42ebacked No73c375.34$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes27c375$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.258939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9985…a45cbacked Yes28c358.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.393342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes28c335.36$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.911342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes27c333.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0521626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0499…c2a1backed No73c330.14$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.143100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3cc…8675backed No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes28c250.14$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.049354.8%51 W · 42 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x81ed…6879backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5214738.8%57 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c183$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes30c168.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Yes28c160.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.512050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38d0…899bbacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2512744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes27c124.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6920452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes28c119$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.325034%17 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Yes27c117.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284231%13 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes38c89.45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.994153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No78c89.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6429946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3397…9ec1backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-72.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes28c85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.814233.8%48 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x035f…b2ccbacked Yes27c83.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-49.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb223…cb07backed Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204418.2%8 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205427.8%15 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbed7…50f6backed Yes30c64.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b09…aca6backed Yes27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.24751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0c…41c3backed Yes33c59.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-50.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fcb…4381backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c88…c9d2backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c37…9e0cbacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27a7…36dcbacked No57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+143.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.524052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed8…897bbacked No73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+53%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed No72c49.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145558.2%32 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No72c49.97$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9930956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc243…a568backed No74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64a3…5202backed Yes26c38.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No62c37.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.261442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb9…90acbacked Yes28c37.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No73c36.85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9532145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed No59c32.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.25040%20 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes33c30.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x640f…4cc0backed No67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed No74c29.75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.762853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.441090%9 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick72cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No63c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.144461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed No72c20.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.84744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed No64c18.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.443345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c17.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.951,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.