TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$279,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes36c39,001$14,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,975.384852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes40c24,569$9,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,742.2712553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No63c21,500$13,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,634.9724145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes38c13,158$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,157.8912338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No64c9,000$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7606240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No1c8,789$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1312251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes35c7,816$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,080.41,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes37c6,843$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,310.6130634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c6,832$3,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,911.382,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c6,368$3,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,792.824,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No63c6,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,779.953930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes35c5,509$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,580.819058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa3ea…0637backed No63c5,000$3,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,17030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes36c4,500$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8809656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes37c4,054$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.0510437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes36c3,512$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.911,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95025648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9503537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No63c2,551$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.118940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae47…eba4backed Yes37c2,162$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.163040%12 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No62c2,138$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.39748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes43c1,855$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.638461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes41c1,728$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aae…419dbacked No64c1,667$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.681172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No63c1,626$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.1813046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed No64c1,560$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.413958.3%81 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f82…0ffebacked No64c1,538$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.51560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Yes41c1,263$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.371553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes36c1,100$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7043441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No63c1,100$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6934348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No32c1,065$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.1969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No35c1,000$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.665448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65029545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6504156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6207953.2%42 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes35c999.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.995451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes36c964.06$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61755941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes37c921$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.2311333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No64c860$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.413551.1%69 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No62c832.44$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.127851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c800.4$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.623,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed No65c769.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb65c…dcdfbacked No64c749.61$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.752240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes38c700$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4342321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Yes37c673.33$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.22556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No57c606.24$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.8615036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes35c600$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39015049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes36c583$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.0853242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes37c539$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.8517252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x355c…2c1cbacked Yes37c534.43$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d30…b7a8backed No64c527.73$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3211444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes35c512.37$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3174457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ad…e759backed Yes37c465.03$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.973043.3%13 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes37c441.27$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27815646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes37c432.43$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.433043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes37c405.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.414822.9%11 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No64c400$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25415250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d2b…37e2backed Yes68c386.44$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes35c335.68$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.1931952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes36c330.74$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.6716740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes36c300$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.523947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f70…8c80backed Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.271050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.16757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.163447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80f0…6deebacked Yes72c258.3$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.671758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No64c222.64$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1420452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No36c220.96$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1158548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes37c210.81$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.817635.5%27 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No12c205$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.660832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed No63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1265038%19 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes69c200$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6315940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No34c200$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1112727.6%35 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1268728.7%25 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No31c196.16$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8729946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed Yes41c195.12$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.121330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No30c190.08$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0816838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4863…805bbacked No64c187.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed No63c182$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.880%0 W · 8 L-4.3wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes36c172.6$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3320642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No57c168$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.783939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed No63c164$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.738751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes36c163.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.893148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No64c160$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.64351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked No64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8b…13e8backed No64c150.78$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Yes45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.54454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes71c147.37$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.747853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.064330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75c…86d0backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes47c137.34$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4359655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d9f…b22ebacked Yes36c137.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.142948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No53c133.02$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6515643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c27…1bf3backed No59c130$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e67…7bb5backed No63c126.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes36c125$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8011342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes35c120$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7821626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5565…7693backed Yes35c120$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.