TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Transylvania Open: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Jaqueline Cristian

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cristianof Stefanini, Cristian
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,193 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Cristian70c12,351$8,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,758.4848851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0457…4403backed Stefanini9c6,634$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5796829.4%20 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Stefanini28c4,878$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.012,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a23…f4ffbacked Stefanini19c4,471$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8502142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Stefanini26c3,661$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.0280938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Stefanini49c3,587$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.5321147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b46…8438backed Stefanini50c3,578$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cristian79c3,150$2,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.782,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Stefanini18c2,641$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.31,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stefanini38c2,483$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93265647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Stefanini49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006033.3%20 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Stefanini23c1,699$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.5628726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cristian71c1,403$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.973,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Stefanini29c1,102$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.932,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Stefanini30c1,060$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Cristian53c944.83$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.8362061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Cristian80c926.72$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5731753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83e1…cf79backed Stefanini8c867.66$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.35728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8635…0dfcbacked Cristian59c852.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.27666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Stefanini30c837$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.9297046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Stefanini6c757.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4923735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Stefanini24c729.57$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.0555646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Stefanini15c719.14$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7312313.8%17 W · 106 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Stefanini11c479.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Stefanini21c424$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0420043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Cristian64c383$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1835247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stefanini16c371.25$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.218,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Cristian72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.229762.9%61 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Cristian70c335.24$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3229654.4%161 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cristian72c326.27$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb485…f560backed Stefanini11c318.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356127.9%17 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Stefanini26c313.82$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.566,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Cristian79c299.99$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6370465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Cristian78c279.46$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4827063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Stefanini9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeebf…3885backed Cristian68c264.52$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.523253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Stefanini21c246.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.227,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stefanini30c236.28$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7888455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Stefanini29c234.65$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6818663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Stefanini22c228.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd246…5622backed Stefanini26c226.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.882326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Stefanini9c224.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.291,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Cristian79c212.92$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9242558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Stefanini35c200$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6925542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Cristian79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Stefanini29c179.31$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5226227.9%73 W · 189 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc226…497dbacked Cristian56c178.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.242030%6 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Stefanini20c152.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.519546.3%44 W · 51 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Cristian66c151.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.971,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde69…e82ebacked Cristian75c148.47$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.126756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57af…dda4backed Stefanini29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b5b…6e14backed Stefanini20c118.52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.151526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a2…e4dabacked Cristian64c115$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stefanini10c109.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.437,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed Stefanini40c109.34$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.482343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Cristian72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2847057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Stefanini30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb69…ac1bbacked Stefanini10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Stefanini38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382846.4%13 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Cristian60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4014858.8%87 W · 61 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Stefanini40c98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.21,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc503…b82cbacked Cristian79c96.94$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.16768.7%46 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Stefanini21c96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-64.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…96f0backed Stefanini17c87.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157236.1%26 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Stefanini14c86.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1224826.2%65 W · 183 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Cristian58c81.66$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.31,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Stefanini35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2818636%67 W · 119 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Stefanini39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0bb…4c8abacked Cristian61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5717158.5%100 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d14…d039backed Cristian71c59.15$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.151866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Stefanini32c59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.684143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Stefanini33c58.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1353752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Stefanini21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Cristian80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Cristian72c48.49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.497248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Stefanini21c48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.083342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x617f…cde5backed Stefanini29c46.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.511952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca5…accfbacked Cristian65c43.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa404…3ee0backed Cristian79c42.84$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+85.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x444c…51f6backed Stefanini43c39.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-66.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8761…5619backed Cristian67c38.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Cristian58c37.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9328754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Cristian69c37.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6827543.3%119 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Cristian80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Cristian64c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.612664.3%81 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd06…a25dbacked Cristian64c31.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.26875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe23…a8b5backed Cristian69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.31233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76e7…1872backed Stefanini40c29.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.611266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc4f…f1e0backed Stefanini58c28.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc55…e0d4backed Cristian78c25.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e4…98f5backed Cristian79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.327074.3%52 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Cristian61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.74,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x334c…f072backed Cristian80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4712…5bd6backed Cristian80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514475%108 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…eeeebacked Cristian74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+132.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed Cristian60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Cristian63c24.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.281163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fe5…fdbabacked Cristian60c24.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Cristian58c22.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6152037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2950…d569backed Cristian77c22.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.19742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.