TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc55…e0d4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT11575.7%87 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.57
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.23
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.25
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.41
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.09
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.83
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.09
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Transylvania Open: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+27.7%+$5.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+44.3%+$6.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+26.6%+$9.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+25.5%+$5.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODi Series South Africa vs Pakistan, Women: South Africa vs Pakistanbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.