Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Stefanini vs Cristian
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bf56477d85ac8f69667ebc0920e32ef6e773c2ff3edd3f0deecfeef3d44db70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cristianof Stefanini, Cristian
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Stefanini | 11c | 199.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe826…cfe1backed Stefanini | 28c | 79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…f7f9backed Cristian | 70c | 63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cristian | 68c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…48a0backed Cristian | 71c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…abd6backed Cristian | 71c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…7d0bbacked Cristian | 72c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…7d6abacked Stefanini | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b2…9c54backed Stefanini | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e6…ac47backed Stefanini | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc476…c88bbacked Stefanini | 29c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…104bbacked Stefanini | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…6693backed Stefanini | 31c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…ffdbbacked Cristian | 72c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…6c89backed Stefanini | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…e4d5backed Stefanini | 30c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2543…ff28backed Stefanini | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…08d0backed Stefanini | 30c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fb…a30cbacked Stefanini | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e74…58e2backed Stefanini | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…69fbbacked Stefanini | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…1be3backed Cristian | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…cb7cbacked Stefanini | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa63…0454backed Cristian | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…baafbacked Cristian | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab2…a34fbacked Cristian | 72c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…db85backed Cristian | 72c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…6b7fbacked Cristian | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…ceadbacked Cristian | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…beaabacked Stefanini | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf4…e21bbacked Cristian | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2134…e45abacked Cristian | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…6e99backed Cristian | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…d748backed Cristian | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0142…822ebacked Cristian | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…11fabacked Cristian | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7b…47e0backed Cristian | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…8d8dbacked Cristian | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1faa…c1f6backed Cristian | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfef4…409ebacked Cristian | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…8bf3backed Cristian | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9246…0e5cbacked Cristian | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf1…8594backed Cristian | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3419…e404backed Cristian | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 61cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…22b0backed Cristian | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c2…8977backed Cristian | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…85bbbacked Cristian | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…6c98backed Cristian | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0528backed Cristian | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb250…cff8backed Cristian | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…4434backed Cristian | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce98…c7e4backed Cristian | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…596dbacked Cristian | 71c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a9…be90backed Cristian | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…1282backed Cristian | 71c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…654fbacked Cristian | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…cfecbacked Cristian | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…9aa2backed Cristian | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…82d0backed Cristian | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…57c6backed Cristian | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab01…8064backed Cristian | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e21…4275backed Cristian | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c3…78dfbacked Cristian | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334c…01a1backed Cristian | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…150fbacked Cristian | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…a190backed Cristian | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf854…3d75backed Cristian | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…5312backed Cristian | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…a1a8backed Cristian | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1090…1503backed Cristian | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3203…1ec5backed Cristian | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a4…7941backed Cristian | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f8…4ab4backed Cristian | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…5b7dbacked Cristian | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Stefanini vs Cristianthis page
- Set Handicap: Cristian (-1.5) vs Stefanini (+1.5)Stefanini won
- Stefanini vs. Cristian: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Stefanini vs. Cristian: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Transylvania Open: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Jaqueline CristianCristian won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.