TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Bulls, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,235,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,347,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,235,759 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 832 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Bulls37c166,427$62,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,175.6772648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf98d…7adbbacked Cavaliers62c154,443$95,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,560.421258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Bulls32c134,000$42,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,119.9522453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls30c113,473$34,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,903.644,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Cavaliers41c105,000$42,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,874.9838248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls32c59,593$19,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,463.312,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Bulls42c58,981$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,980.659641.7%40 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers63c55,655$35,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,025.565,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Bulls35c50,000$17,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,554.211547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Bulls39c50,000$19,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,499.994456.8%25 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls38c40,704$15,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,237.181,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Cavaliers62c40,306$24,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,989.746358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Cavaliers68c33,513$22,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,865.214549%71 W · 74 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Cavaliers33c33,333$11,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,155.8227251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers68c31,500$21,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,4201,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Bulls38c26,527$10,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,44727424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers69c26,464$18,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,172.723,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Bulls37c25,000$9,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,624.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Bulls30c23,993$7,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,714.21,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdec1…28bdbacked Bulls31c20,000$6,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,894.493636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Cavaliers62c20,000$12,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,399.9618045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Bulls38c19,803$7,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,207.591,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Cavaliers47c19,532$9,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,253.0459646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Cavaliers69c17,773$12,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,255.52,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers70c17,639$12,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,351.331,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls56c17,296$9,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,527.053,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Bulls30c16,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,20035547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Cavaliers64c15,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,599.9746342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Cavaliers69c14,912$10,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,248.0227747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Cavaliers62c13,500$8,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,37018151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Cavaliers10c13,243$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.281735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Bulls37c13,015$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,214.5138649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Cavaliers68c13,013$8,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,896.8445151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ad…9577backed Bulls70c12,281$8,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,684.32343.5%10 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick64cpaid-36.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers70c12,103$8,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,499.094,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Cavaliers58c11,764$6,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,815.3618453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Cavaliers49c11,099$5,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,46013435.8%48 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Cavaliers68c11,025$7,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,49710642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Cavaliers70c10,262$7,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,222.7148944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bulls30c10,153$3,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,103.712,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Cavaliers70c10,015$7,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,010.640350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Bulls38c10,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,20014244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Bulls28c10,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20036741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Bulls38c10,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,20019048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers47c9,344$4,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,407.23,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cavaliers36c9,201$3,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,294.111,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Cavaliers70c9,007$6,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,34013063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Bulls37c8,332$3,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.168543.5%37 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bulls52c8,155$4,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.8881529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Cavaliers61c8,000$4,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,879.844035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cavaliers68c7,679$5,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,252.7972450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers60c7,514$4,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,508.496447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Cavaliers63c7,075$4,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,477.685251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers68c6,888$4,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,681.291,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Cavaliers69c6,800$4,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,691.9518553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Bulls30c6,548$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,560.6447949.7%238 W · 241 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Cavaliers70c6,502$4,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,551.3427840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers51c6,474$3,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,287.614,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Cavaliers68c6,045$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,139.6322637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Bulls30c6,045$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,231.523348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers28c5,988$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.841,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1692…831fbacked Bulls50c5,842$2,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,945.086051.7%31 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Cavaliers70c5,679$3,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,975.317658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x42fd…4661backed Bulls68c5,537$3,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.256448.4%31 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Bulls32c5,339$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,630.8417348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Cavaliers68c5,200$3,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,560.2786641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls29c5,100$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6211,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Bulls56c5,067$2,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.621,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bulls37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Bulls29c5,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,55012147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Bulls38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.9535235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Cavaliers29c4,990$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.516540%66 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Bulls33c4,610$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,108.8821538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Bulls29c4,500$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,21547028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bulls55c4,257$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.891,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Cavaliers24c4,246$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.917441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Cavaliers70c4,235$2,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,953.816749.1%82 W · 85 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b21…7da2backed Cavaliers70c3,800$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.991020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Bulls37c3,766$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,370.6650239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked Bulls33c3,597$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,409.971533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Bulls51c3,423$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.011,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Bulls31c3,366$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,322.3410740.2%43 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Bulls33c3,265$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.8644459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bulls31c3,246$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.666853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Cavaliers62c3,226$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.1wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Bulls37c3,219$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040.5256945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11b5…0d05backed Cavaliers52c3,189$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.32536%9 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03a9…37babacked Bulls28c3,141$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.2110547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Bulls50c3,048$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.9931044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Bulls50c3,018$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.9153134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Bulls30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10029037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Bulls36c2,964$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.1944648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd4b…3a70backed Cavaliers70c2,900$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick46cpaid-76%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15bd…3e07backed Bulls70c2,891$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.312665.4%17 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Cavaliers68c2,884$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.3213442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaceb…6f8ebacked Cavaliers71c2,850$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.52055%11 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Bulls29c2,801$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.7111244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Cavaliers70c2,800$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.0414055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Cavaliers65c2,635$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.118518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Bulls30c2,575$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.55139.2%20 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+63.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.