TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,912
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,095

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,912 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa331…df52backed Over51c10,025$5,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,912.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f64…200cbacked Under49c10,025$4,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,912.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c8,696$4,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,470.139,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Under49c5,053$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50014753.1%78 W · 69 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under53c3,739$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.561,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under53c3,093$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.337252.8%38 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Over46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62028850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Over47c2,434$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.0610642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08017658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c1,739$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.334,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Over54c1,685$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77541652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under55c1,394$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.865339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c1,370$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.751,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over49c1,292$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.652,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c1,262$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.618,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Under54c1,119$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.269944.4%44 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over52c1,108$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.7721247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Under55c1,018$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.95952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Under53c970.08$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.1440952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Under55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38550239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Over47c659$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.2750047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Over51c599.99$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9925039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Under56c532.77$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.356838.2%26 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb991…2462backed Over51c407.3$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.581957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Under48c337.43$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5921749.3%107 W · 110 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9239…a358backed Under51c260$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.551656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x068e…6d88backed Under48c236.9$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.711850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d29…4083backed Over51c226.53$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11117341%71 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15a3…718ebacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9811351.3%58 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x474b…c5b1backed Under52c190.83$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.239050%45 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8af0…1929backed Under52c190.83$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.232152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under49c186$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.468355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over52c170.98$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.623,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Under49c153$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.975141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4366046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c127.7$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.575,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x663e…d35bbacked Over53c113$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.11450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e6…224cbacked Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508852.3%46 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under35c100.78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.761,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023547.7%112 W · 123 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3b0…e5efbacked Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+119.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4947738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b5f…8bfdbacked Under52c98.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.412450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5373…e46bbacked Under52c95.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.618744.8%39 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3421756.7%123 W · 94 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4556…2b35backed Under50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4512952.7%68 W · 61 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over51c87.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.841,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d5…fe30backed Under50c86.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.424235.7%15 W · 27 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under55c73.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2562744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under48c71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.085345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over51c59.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.313,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5be…21f6backed Under47c57.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.931060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under52c56.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1542551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Over51c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.234148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2753951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ed…1795backed Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over48c49.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7993849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2587…a117backed Under49c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.014247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over46c48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9219756.3%111 W · 86 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Under48c47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.565651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc1d…ff79backed Under50c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.55646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…71e1backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204045%18 W · 22 L-6.6wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-25.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4612149.6%60 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Over52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.246157.4%35 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c2…8efabacked Over48c36.92$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under53c36.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4188845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x859a…1ccebacked Over51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.642972.4%21 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Under49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.157247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Over52c32.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6929156.4%164 W · 127 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6191…e505backed Over51c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.684951%25 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over51c31.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5652643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb780…e7a2backed Over52c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.963256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Over52c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.963450%17 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca15…0d5ebacked Under52c26.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe91…4462backed Over51c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.742240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x22e5…81acbacked Over51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.762835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f34…1a46backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.