TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Open Sud de France: Valentin Royer vs Arthur Fils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Filsof Royer, Fils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$413,172
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$492,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,172 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Fils58c50,000$29,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,00011633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Royer42c48,851$20,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,517.6111242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Fils68c13,189$8,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,282.5735247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Royer26c13,045$3,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,387.9593055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Fils59c12,918$7,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,355.621,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Royer19c11,355$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.2524438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Royer47c10,696$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Royer37c10,635$3,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,929.8511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Royer10c9,855$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.783336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fils72c8,255$5,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,284.5165647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Royer45c7,957$3,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,580.642161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Fils63c7,834$4,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,903.3197046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Royer49c7,591$3,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,739.3819134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Royer53c5,500$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Fils55c5,455$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.8648851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Royer42c5,193$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.2411343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Royer42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9743051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed72…b8b0backed Fils49c4,703$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.857332.9%24 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Royer42c4,570$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.2476146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Fils68c4,373$2,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.5499044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0457…4403backed Fils63c4,323$2,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6136829.4%20 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Royer43c4,016$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.827,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Fils63c3,733$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.111,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Fils58c3,520$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.5844754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Fils58c3,500$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.694560%27 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Royer47c3,194$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.1357645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Fils59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Fils55c2,906$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.1314766.7%98 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Royer37c2,704$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.62,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Royer34c2,678$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.152,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Royer32c2,470$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.632,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Royer40c2,373$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.2236968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Royer41c2,361$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96119846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Fils69c2,272$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.0844038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9346…cb76backed Fils55c2,084$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+79.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a23…f4ffbacked Royer54c2,044$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1012142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Fils53c2,014$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.655064%32 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Royer35c2,003$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.3226131.4%82 W · 179 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Royer43c1,957$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.739546.3%44 W · 51 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce9…1b87backed Royer30c1,956$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Fils72c1,883$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.913260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe93c…d9c7backed Royer43c1,780$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe01a…d527backed Fils57c1,777$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fils65c1,606$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.454,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06af…11cbbacked Fils57c1,576$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.962334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Fils71c1,541$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.0875748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Royer35c1,530$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.667533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked Royer30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed Fils57c1,500$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.145160.8%31 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f1…9b81backed Royer37c1,452$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.773336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd95c…f1d7backed Royer49c1,226$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc4f…f1e0backed Royer35c1,151$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Royer47c1,116$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.7334745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Fils64c1,052$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.3925542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Fils77c1,031$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.11683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+71.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Royer45c1,011$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.4447639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked Fils52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4809247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Fils58c968.88$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.9354547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Fils58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0738739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Royer46c860.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40063247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Royer21c857.14$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1809737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83e1…cf79backed Royer21c814.21$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.79728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fils59c785.98$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.181,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Fils57c777.11$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.1118957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a0…610ebacked Fils53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x279b…2365backed Fils58c725.17$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.177237.5%27 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Fils80c715.06$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0148552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Royer10c708.56$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3621843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Royer47c700$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3295232.7%17 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Royer47c694.22$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.283,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Royer41c692.13$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.914,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Fils57c646.56$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.0238652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc57a…fe9fbacked Fils78c642.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.324100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+57.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Fils80c590$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Royer34c588.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Fils58c581.9$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.455646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Royer46c550$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.913826.1%36 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Royer47c530.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6d…2730backed Royer47c522.96$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Fils41c510.68$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.6865652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Fils44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28016856%94 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacad…ee84backed Fils58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2104100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Royer45c488.89$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22011353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Fils53c479.23$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.247,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f06…980bbacked Royer20c478.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Fils57c466.69$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.1168350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Royer25c460.64$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9928444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1362…16ccbacked Fils49c450.38$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.874540%18 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Fils53c420$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.527733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Royer38c408.07$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.62,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Fils59c400$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16670652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked Fils56c396.84$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1921767.7%147 W · 70 L-0.8wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x354c…864abacked Royer24c394.21$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.61540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Royer21c393.8$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2728833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd246…5622backed Royer32c388.29$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.072326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Royer53c378.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20059165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Royer44c370.75$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3952037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Fils53c369.74$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Royer29c363.81$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.739348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x458d…b7c8backed Royer43c349.96$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.981861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.