Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Royer vs Fils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a05a94be7683ea907173f0d53bffb4f2b0a9a4c30e64387c08087e9b5561477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Filsof Royer, Fils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Fils | 57c | 412.28$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Royer | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Royer | 47c | 191.72$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fils | 46c | 160.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Royer | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Royer | 59c | 119.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Royer | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Fils | 54c | 93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Royer | 42c | 78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4561…f759backed Royer | 52c | 60.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Royer | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Fils | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 48cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Fils | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Fils | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Fils | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Fils | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Fils | 55c | 25.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fils | 51c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Fils | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Royer vs Filsthis page
- Open Sud de France: Valentin Royer vs Arthur FilsFils won
- Royer vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Royer vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Royer vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Royer vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Royer vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Royer vs. Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Royer (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)Fils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.