South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c2e50081ea60e2e96dc7ae83e2509c3471adeceb4f2d5c8d2283a4e34791c6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 4,016$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.54 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 73c | 3,646$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.76 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked No | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 710.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes | 13c | 641.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 18c | 541.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 505.35$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.55 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 19c | 433$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 331.37$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…d3c3backed Yes | 30c | 325.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 71c | 284.21$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…3d47backed Yes | 14c | 236.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4296…4cb1backed No | 71c | 196.03$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 15c | 142.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…e7abbacked No | 71c | 131.21$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 21c | 128.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 15c | 121.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 29c | 117.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed Yes | 30c | 104.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed Yes | 30c | 104.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…3885backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 99.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 18c | 85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…231cbacked Yes | 33c | 81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 35c | 36.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 22.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-02-04?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-02-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.