TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-02-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,777

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde04…fa37backed Yes59c5,960$3,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,417.5727133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No57c5,083$2,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,880.931,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No46c4,962$2,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,295.822,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No27c3,868$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.472334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes64c2,032$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.521251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes59c1,728$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.5530841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes80c1,584$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.391172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c1,384$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.995,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No24c1,078$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.3627050.7%137 W · 133 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No38c1,044$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.341,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes79c859.01$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.441,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes44c596.82$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.2251749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Yes67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes44c456.64$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.721450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed No57c442.89$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.451154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed No54c410.57$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.713647.2%17 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Yes74c406$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.56560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes46c352$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.998953.9%48 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes72c315.41$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4315158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No22c307.79$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7131349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16512443.5%54 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Yes80c266.9$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.38616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-79.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No55c264.91$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7381651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes42c259.14$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes51c237.68$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1828443%122 W · 162 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0674…2034backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.223438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb48c…ab11backed Yes45c215.56$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes73c198.94$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.898,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes45c177.92$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9213739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes75c164$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked No33c145.85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.094850%24 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No55c144.52$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4910846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked No31c112.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.078537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes59c111$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.516647%31 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.74953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes44c106.55$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6723435%82 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No37c105.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4949535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes43c104.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6513041.5%54 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No23c102.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4627442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.56119.7%12 W · 49 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked No56c99.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9921837.6%82 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No34c96.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.351,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x309a…f474backed No59c96.78$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No47c95.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.991,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0120…6bbbbacked Yes44c90$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…0db8backed No56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.896731.3%21 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8860…be07backed No56c88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…f71bbacked Yes44c88$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…55bebacked No56c84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe56f…e1e9backed Yes44c83.93$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+101.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcea0…f535backed Yes44c82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc18f…bb01backed Yes45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x680d…cae0backed Yes44c77$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea20…49a9backed No56c77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes44c76.64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No36c76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3632936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50de…570abacked Yes44c71$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick32cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a0…0a5bbacked No56c71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78ba…7cf0backed Yes44c69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick32cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.261,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf930…04a3backed No56c68.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x848c…bfebbacked No44c68.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.55560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32f4…f3d2backed No56c66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfabf…231cbacked Yes46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x364f…162ebacked No31c64.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa400…3b54backed Yes44c61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…74b2backed No56c61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed No44c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.68263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes45c58.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.163,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c3…a2efbacked Yes44c56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa212…73f6backed No56c56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdca0…a27cbacked Yes72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8026…b981backed No56c52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…9a67backed Yes44c52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.517950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012051.7%62 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Yes79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Yes44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285641.1%23 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No55c49.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.187352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed No31c46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.036235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9850…9173backed Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…be91backed Yes62c45.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57ba…affdbacked Yes44c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe90…8d8bbacked No56c45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f5…5174backed Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce3…40f3backed Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes44c41.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1814022.1%31 W · 109 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36c5…72c8backed No56c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fe…6382backed Yes44c41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick31cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da9…9d56backed Yes47c40.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+86.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2696…5652backed Yes44c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9dc…170bbacked No56c38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f98…0073backed No57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+73.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06b…7092backed No56c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4861…bb0fbacked No56c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf96…de04backed Yes44c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No33c30.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.