Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Quentin Halys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66239945d616156ffc154a7627fa452a9c4dfc9133b7db756718fe4407738696
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Halysof Walton, Halys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Walton | 15c | 6,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Walton | 14c | 3,796$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.96 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Halys | 79c | 1,152$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.16 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…db49backed Walton | 15c | 978$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Walton | 36c | 898.31$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.84 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Walton | 7c | 581.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Halys | 79c | 476.01$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Walton | 38c | 469$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.28 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Walton | 3c | 426.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Walton | 11c | 373.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Halys | 66c | 366$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Walton | 14c | 343.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Walton | 16c | 338$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…3885backed Walton | 12c | 220$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Walton | 12c | 200.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Walton | 7c | 199.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Walton | 17c | 171.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Halys | 62c | 165$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Walton | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e21…7defbacked Walton | 14c | 138.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Walton | 15c | 119.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Halys | 62c | 116$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Halys | 63c | 112.27$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Walton | 19c | 100.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Walton | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Walton | 37c | 95.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Walton | 15c | 90.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Halys | 58c | 85.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Walton | 12c | 84.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Halys | 65c | 69.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Halys | 58c | 62.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Halys | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Halys | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Halys | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Walton | 41c | 48.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Halys | 63c | 47.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Halys | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Walton | 37c | 42.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Halys | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…8587backed Halys | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.