TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$295,066
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$290,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,066 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes61c228,762$138,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,052.364238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No37c75,000$27,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,7501650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c59,144$25,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,557.668,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No27c14,053$3,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,739.830841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No43c13,414$5,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,711.3333560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No42c13,157$5,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,542.5265058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed No37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,700580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No40c6,711$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.7447756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No40c6,337$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,504.8957157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No39c6,319$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,470.262,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No39c6,146$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.5641256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No27c5,042$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36014443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes60c4,297$2,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.5218352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No45c4,070$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.41,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No32c3,615$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.8210564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No39c3,505$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.0212361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c2,024$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.55,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No39c1,877$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.4428158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No46c1,758$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.974637%17 W · 29 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No41c1,745$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.679054.4%49 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No43c1,697$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.720059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Yes48c1,508$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.061520%3 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No39c1,375$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.311,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No39c1,323$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.051,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No39c1,317$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.7936757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No39c1,317$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.7926160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes76c1,285$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.241,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No39c1,250$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.210456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No39c1,175$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.3116759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No39c1,122$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.0816255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed No40c964$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.67955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No39c782.82$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.37857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes70c736.81$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.784943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No40c642.48$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.8519056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No37c600$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21933745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No46c577.01$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.679457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No39c551.22$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.151,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes62c482.3$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.6112354.5%67 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb2…a30cbacked No12c427.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2880%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No39c408.73$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.182,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No8c372.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5385220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes59c346.96$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1913828.3%39 W · 99 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No38c343.05$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2455155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Yes70c338.61$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.791643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No40c337.39$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1811664.7%75 W · 41 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab0c…2f12backed Yes62c330.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.785100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No40c314.72$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.451,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No39c305.95$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.327957%45 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No40c298.6$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4463657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No40c298.6$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4418154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes63c295.7$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.415345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No41c284$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4413545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No39c279.43$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2816160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No40c273.43$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3518859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No40c273.43$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3517857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5734…698bbacked Yes61c256.48$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb234…5b9ebacked Yes57c252.95$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.771136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No39c248.26$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8211763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes64c241.83$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0613351.1%68 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No27c240.04$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.473,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No49c237.95$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.942,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No37c220.76$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6817560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked No44c219.85$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.643467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No39c215.32$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.717660.5%46 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked No46c212.18$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.796657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No40c194.61$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.098961.8%55 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes61c189.54$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9714570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x86fc…55ccbacked Yes63c184.75$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No41c184.44$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5416459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed No39c184.26$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.033458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No41c179.61$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8712259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes46c176$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.042623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.510750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed No57c170.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.426845.6%31 W · 37 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb882…fcabbacked No53c170.34$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.28955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No45c162.84$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1919264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Yes62c161.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c38…a15abacked Yes61c156.24$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+73.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0da9…bb10backed Yes63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No13c153.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2071619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked No54c148.09$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.972576%19 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+44.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked No40c141.47$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.594761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No40c141.47$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5915654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes67c138.19$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.913373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked No44c132.62$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.224052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Yes75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.834461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No40c123.07$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.288851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked No41c121.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.332560%15 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x654f…61eebacked No38c103.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92c8…0723backed No40c101.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428267.1%55 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No40c99.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8116653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8de…a2b8backed No39c96.63$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.161010%1 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick37cpaid-87.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No39c96.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.574568.9%31 W · 14 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes62c92.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3476951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed No54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.621353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc389…6b32backed Yes64c85.32$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.921330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes61c84.53$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.