TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Adelaide International: Tomas Machac vs Jaume Munar

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Machacof Machac, Munar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,128 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x437c…f458backed Munar34c6,967$2,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,372.9812442.7%53 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Machac55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25043051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Munar51c4,500$2,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.858936%32 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Machac66c3,633$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.542,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Munar47c2,325$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09919846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Munar46c2,280$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.998142%34 W · 47 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Munar41c2,227$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.92,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Machac54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92018047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Munar45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010443.3%45 W · 59 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Munar8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508313.3%11 W · 72 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Machac54c1,858$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.397736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Machac56c1,792$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.535247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Munar13c1,743$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.682,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Munar49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6861,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Munar46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.991,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Machac59c1,197$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.1758639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Munar44c1,148$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.671,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Machac54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9328444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Munar30c869.63$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.0725134.3%86 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f8d…edbebacked Munar24c837.78$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Munar36c822.82$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.747,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Munar39c600$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23625542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Machac74c583.21$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.342,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Munar41c569.95$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.781,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Munar44c564.67$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6634745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Machac54c547$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6238048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Machac62c535.95$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.6611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Machac55c502.92$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9212752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Munar10c416.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Munar48c401.8$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.661154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Machac57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1729242.4%39 W · 53 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Munar48c375.27$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.02944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Munar14c358.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Munar34c357.97$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.712,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a0…6906backed Munar48c315.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-54.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4580…16e3backed Machac70c309.17$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.171361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Munar5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151368.1%11 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd98f…8fa3backed Munar22c286.67$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Munar46c272$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.046058.3%35 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Munar46c256.36$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3643042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Machac60c255.81$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.141,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Munar46c225$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.518548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Munar47c214.89$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10151849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Munar47c212.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Munar21c202$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2928139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Machac52c198.87$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.461,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Munar45c190.9$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9124448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Machac54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+25.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Munar33c185.08$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3727627.2%75 W · 201 L-25.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Machac55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8238739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ad…6b4cbacked Machac56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571850%9 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Munar45c147.04$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.171,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeebf…3885backed Machac74c130$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.83253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Munar47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Machac51c127.31$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3813850.7%70 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Machac51c118.32$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.981,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Munar14c108$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.041,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38fc…d2a7backed Machac55c104.49$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.023135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf60a…6a1cbacked Munar46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Munar47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4731650%158 W · 158 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x129c…0d7cbacked Machac54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bb…6069backed Munar11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Machac54c96.43$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.367,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Machac53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3450952.1%265 W · 244 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4c…1ca9backed Munar47c93.62$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4415363.4%97 W · 56 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Munar14c93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.251,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked Munar46c93$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.625149%25 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Machac54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5912846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Machac56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.293953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Munar47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019531.3%61 W · 134 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked Munar26c71.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1915752.2%82 W · 75 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Munar31c55.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9325237.3%94 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Munar34c54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.392548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb434…2b36backed Machac75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332584%21 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Machac53c53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6616150.3%81 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Munar27c46.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7931434.4%108 W · 206 L-25.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c88…d85dbacked Munar47c41.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.931145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdd8…e7d4backed Machac80c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.593080%24 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Machac66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8853752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeabd…8115backed Machac55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.367041.4%29 W · 41 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Munar44c32.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.453,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Machac68c31.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.222236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Machac78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.756043.3%26 W · 34 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e76…b6d5backed Machac79c25.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.28475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x669e…035bbacked Machac71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2510186.1%87 W · 14 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+16.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Machac70c24.38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.342,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6a…6bd1backed Munar47c21.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Machac67c17.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9514947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Machac67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516144.7%72 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.