TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$258,606
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$261,133

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,606 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4408…1b6abacked No45c22,562$10,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,320.337750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbac…435fbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcaf…9343backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No46c17,586$8,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,496.673450%17 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c11,568$5,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,723.246,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf49…6fccbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a1…9c13backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.9835652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes54c5,432$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.231,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No48c5,195$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,694.984052.5%21 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+50.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.9637054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes19c4,416$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.051,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes54c3,693$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.3724846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4827…ba13backed Yes1c3,450$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.59520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed No49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5304358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Yes51c2,148$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.664751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes36c2,110$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.9527024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed No50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0007357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Yes53c1,415$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes53c1,315$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70023350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes26c1,292$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.11,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes42c1,270$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5319154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes7c1,105$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.794,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed No46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.961844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes55c1,080$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.112,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked No48c1,064$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.252839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No40c1,062$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.7636462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007147.9%34 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c918.74$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.562,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes8c904.79$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.437116.9%12 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No45c900$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49510960.6%66 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes54c894.24$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.895745.6%26 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1428…017cbacked Yes51c885.11$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.41714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes6c878.73$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7720931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Yes52c864.27$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.422646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes55c816.56$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45015257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1350…7169backed Yes11c778.92$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.851428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes12c745$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0430666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31225648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No48c590.1$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.831,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes54c583.33$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3154148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes37c579.29$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.5513944.6%62 W · 77 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes15c500$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7432822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes5c467$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3582763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa70d…f721backed Yes52c454.04$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.11361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Yes50c446.14$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.798349.4%41 W · 42 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes54c444.44$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010736.4%39 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes57c439.99$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.811143.2%48 W · 63 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes4c434.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.411712%14 W · 103 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes16c420.9$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.442324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf81…80cebacked Yes51c392.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.02966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+62.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No47c382.48$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.0613447%63 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes34c380$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.413337.6%50 W · 83 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes10c332.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2929735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes53c301.89$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1607241.7%30 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5113…43adbacked Yes8c246.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.04333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No50c239.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.981,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Yes7c230.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8912048.3%58 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2588…1cfdbacked No48c228.47$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.81944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7e…ffa1backed Yes57c227.68$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.731050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes31c200$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9822448.7%109 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca5…08f1backed Yes52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed No49c199.96$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9812060%72 W · 48 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes50c198.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013944.6%62 W · 77 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5694…6052backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No76c190.58$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4357744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes49c188.29$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2642048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes54c185.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010757%61 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003941%16 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014550.3%73 W · 72 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes15c181$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1549753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcb9…26babacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes54c171.01$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7733753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No47c170.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.089929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2185…99abbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes56c162.82$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1817635.8%63 W · 113 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes50c160.33$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5732737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69bd…5cc4backed Yes54c159.33$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa134…3ba2backed Yes52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801520%3 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8014252.1%74 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes13c144.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.765729.8%17 W · 40 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked No47c142$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.995442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes51c141$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.914949%24 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91dc…2813backed Yes15c130.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.581050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe970…8168backed Yes56c121.36$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes54c120.37$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658438.1%32 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.635347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.429343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes34c118.53$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7318251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7747…fe5cbacked Yes52c113.46$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes15c113.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721143.1%91 W · 120 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Yes53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609749.5%48 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0375…0528backed Yes19c112.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No56c111.06$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3711255.4%62 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes55c110.55$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.817745.2%80 W · 97 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.