TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Saint Louis Billikens vs. VCU Rams

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saint Louis Billikensof Saint Louis Billikens, VCU Rams
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,881 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x89f3…dfffbacked VCU Rams27c4,146$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.541,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Saint Louis Billikens45c2,542$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.161652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Saint Louis Billikens51c2,086$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.0718147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed VCU Rams55c1,741$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.772,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06fd…c0bebacked Saint Louis Billikens45c1,250$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed VCU Rams55c860$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4732152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Saint Louis Billikens70c812.62$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.755,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Saint Louis Billikens70c748.92$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.842,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed VCU Rams31c743.93$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.9942327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Saint Louis Billikens43c635.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.781,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed VCU Rams57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2856443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked VCU Rams56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28012364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Saint Louis Billikens42c499.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29018129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Saint Louis Billikens77c481.03$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.611,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Saint Louis Billikens74c479.19$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3273549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked VCU Rams35c438.33$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.554,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed VCU Rams44c400.66$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.1344955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Saint Louis Billikens62c326.58$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.084,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Saint Louis Billikens41c273.25$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2252928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Saint Louis Billikens78c263.96$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.215861.4%97 W · 61 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked VCU Rams32c258.33$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9657335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ede…d6a7backed VCU Rams56c245.24$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed VCU Rams12c222$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.213313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed VCU Rams55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11065825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Saint Louis Billikens45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed VCU Rams55c185$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7557448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed VCU Rams57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011444.7%51 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked VCU Rams51c168$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.611,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed VCU Rams12c157$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.823,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Saint Louis Billikens74c152.01$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.831,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed VCU Rams57c149.29$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.125544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Saint Louis Billikens42c113.53$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8599045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d89…3e65backed Saint Louis Billikens45c103.48$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.096524.6%16 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked VCU Rams54c98.91$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked VCU Rams27c82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1932343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed VCU Rams55c79$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4560548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed VCU Rams28c74.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4545644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Saint Louis Billikens46c72.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9920051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Saint Louis Billikens40c71.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8837835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed VCU Rams57c66.51$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.916931.9%22 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Saint Louis Billikens64c65.58$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9248051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed VCU Rams42c63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6149043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Saint Louis Billikens51c54.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.513450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Saint Louis Billikens76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed Saint Louis Billikens41c49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9114339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f1…47a5backed Saint Louis Billikens76c40.88$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.881936.8%7 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-42.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed VCU Rams43c39.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1766831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked VCU Rams47c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0417546.3%81 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Saint Louis Billikens55c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.951,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed VCU Rams48c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.92,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba2c…b5d1backed Saint Louis Billikens51c26.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed VCU Rams53c23.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.493,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Saint Louis Billikens46c22.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.312065%13 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked VCU Rams53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6461446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.