Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Louis Billikens vs. VCU Rams: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd8e2aa935ddfe30968088f464c0213674182f9af5968eab0db3f0f20cf3c699
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 46c | 764.06$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.59 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 615.79$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Over | 55c | 151$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Over | 55c | 124$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Over | 53c | 102$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 93.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 48c | 82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Over | 55c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Over | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Under | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…0b62backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…b9f6backed Over | 54c | 45.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Under | 45c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Under | 45c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Under | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Under | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Under | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Over | 56c | 24.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. VCU Rams: O/U 169.5this page
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. VCU RamsSaint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: VCU Rams (-1.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.