TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Bellarmine Knights vs. Jacksonville Dolphins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bellarmine Knightsof Bellarmine Knights, Jacksonville Dolphins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,754
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,754 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe248…f293backed Jacksonville Dolphins55c1,745$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.6478155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Jacksonville Dolphins64c1,446$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.5529845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Jacksonville Dolphins31c1,230$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.218654.3%101 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c1,213$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.3299045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jacksonville Dolphins20c1,098$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.885,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Bellarmine Knights43c1,000$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.511,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bellarmine Knights45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5502,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Jacksonville Dolphins60c914.29$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.5721646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22c…9c02backed Jacksonville Dolphins51c653.13$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.11957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bellarmine Knights38c646.97$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.052,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jacksonville Dolphins61c608.91$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.2212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Bellarmine Knights50c518.17$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.8224444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bellarmine Knights40c500$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2991,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bellarmine Knights44c450.2$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.522,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bellarmine Knights42c405.75$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.972,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Jacksonville Dolphins63c373$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9975447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bellarmine Knights41c372.59$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.413,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Bellarmine Knights35c331.58$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.891,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Jacksonville Dolphins65c318.86$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2674649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bellarmine Knights43c316.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.471,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Bellarmine Knights36c306.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.4835050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Jacksonville Dolphins58c300.01$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.822,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Jacksonville Dolphins63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18982048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bellarmine Knights44c283.79$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.294,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Bellarmine Knights44c215$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3872248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked Jacksonville Dolphins50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005545.5%25 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc1f…d5f3backed Bellarmine Knights42c192.86$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c187.01$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.473,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Jacksonville Dolphins59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Bellarmine Knights37c144$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3949747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Jacksonville Dolphins40c142.87$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.191,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Bellarmine Knights39c136.94$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5394036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2001…29b8backed Jacksonville Dolphins29c136.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Jacksonville Dolphins60c131.58$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9552928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17bf…5a53backed Jacksonville Dolphins28c122.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.827812.8%10 W · 68 L-17.2wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-78.6%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Bellarmine Knights50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Jacksonville Dolphins23c98.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.558140.7%33 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jacksonville Dolphins31c91.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.624,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jacksonville Dolphins20c91.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.091,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Jacksonville Dolphins50c83.2$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9857335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bellarmine Knights65c75.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.481,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Bellarmine Knights37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.135650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Bellarmine Knights34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8223331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f8…3970backed Bellarmine Knights37c53.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.42933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeca…8c27backed Bellarmine Knights43c50.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.879037.8%34 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed20…84f1backed Bellarmine Knights34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Bellarmine Knights44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Jacksonville Dolphins64c46.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021252.4%111 W · 101 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f1…47a5backed Bellarmine Knights43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511936.8%7 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-42.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Jacksonville Dolphins59c43.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.736942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Bellarmine Knights44c41.15$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0219332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Jacksonville Dolphins59c39.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2645953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa3…b307backed Bellarmine Knights42c36.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.131729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick21cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Bellarmine Knights47c35.46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7337835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Bellarmine Knights35c33.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.821535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Jacksonville Dolphins63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Bellarmine Knights38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.610464.4%67 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd613…4e09backed Bellarmine Knights38c28.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jacksonville Dolphins63c26.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.671,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87de…6e5bbacked Bellarmine Knights38c26.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.326440.6%26 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6427…56bbbacked Bellarmine Knights69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2734…22efbacked Jacksonville Dolphins51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.197254.2%39 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Jacksonville Dolphins63c20.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.86243.5%27 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Jacksonville Dolphins62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43060%18 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x741e…9014backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4336…28a7backed Jacksonville Dolphins53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.613464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Jacksonville Dolphins60c17.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2778052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa10e…81f2backed Jacksonville Dolphins61c17.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a71…4f0fbacked Jacksonville Dolphins64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.