Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bellarmine Knights vs. Jacksonville Dolphins: O/U 138.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b7c6211ebeff82a76e0d506810669f18dd3a542d789a419f5679d4f3aa994a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $478,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $478,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 400,000$192,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 52c | 355,679$184,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184,944.12 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 52c | 12,550$6,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,526 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.57 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 1,815$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.24 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 47c | 1,150$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.38 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Under | 53c | 942.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 52c | 845$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.4 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 53c | 838$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.14 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 702.06$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.62 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 52c | 627.99$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.55 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 521.85$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.15 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Over | 48c | 432.53$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.92 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 53c | 246.26$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.52 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 48c | 233.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 52c | 130.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 53c | 108.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Over | 48c | 91.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 73.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under | 53c | 60.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Over | 48c | 53.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 52c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Over | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 48c | 49.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…57ffbacked Under | 52c | 27.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6299…dd7dbacked Under | 53c | 24.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 61c | 24.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 48c | 22.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bellarmine Knights vs. Jacksonville Dolphins: O/U 138.5this page
- Bellarmine Knights vs. Jacksonville DolphinsBellarmine Knights won
- Bellarmine Knights vs. Jacksonville Dolphins: O/U 137.5Over won
- Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-3.5)Bellarmine Knights won
- Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-4.5)Bellarmine Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.