Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Wagner Seahawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37676edf2afd4690cd177d772db036bf5c1d5b514758d4414cc293600a0d279c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mercyhurst Lakersof Mercyhurst Lakers, Wagner Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6218…f388backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 41c | 8,742$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,134.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Wagner Seahawks | 60c | 6,046$3,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,652.86 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Wagner Seahawks | 55c | 2,609$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.18 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Wagner Seahawks | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.63 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Wagner Seahawks | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wagner Seahawks | 56c | 938.59$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.98 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 44c | 800$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.5 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 40c | 782.74$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.45 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 43c | 648.41$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.59 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…9912backed Wagner Seahawks | 49c | 617.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Wagner Seahawks | 57c | 582.46$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 43c | 580.02$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.61 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 44c | 549$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.8 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 44c | 515.97$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.6 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Wagner Seahawks | 19c | 434.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Wagner Seahawks | 52c | 388$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.72 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 60c | 335.35$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.48 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wagner Seahawks | 56c | 312.23$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.21 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 49c | 267.52$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.55 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Wagner Seahawks | 55c | 253.09$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.36 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 47c | 248.71$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.82 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wagner Seahawks | 49c | 224.35$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 43c | 220.36$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 42c | 212.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.32 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 49c | 206.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 47c | 199.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.24 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Wagner Seahawks | 56c | 190$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Wagner Seahawks | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Wagner Seahawks | 57c | 172$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Wagner Seahawks | 57c | 172$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Wagner Seahawks | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Wagner Seahawks | 51c | 73.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 48c | 70.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 48c | 66.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb343…9813backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 38c | 60.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Wagner Seahawks | 60c | 59.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 53c | 52.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…e9f8backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wagner Seahawks | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Wagner Seahawks | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…47a5backed Wagner Seahawks | 68c | 32.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Wagner Seahawks | 49c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Wagner Seahawks | 53c | 30.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 75c | 29.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Wagner Seahawks | 58c | 27.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 49c | 23.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Wagner Seahawks | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Wagner Seahawksthis page
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Wagner Seahawks: O/U 130.5Over won
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Wagner Seahawks: O/U 131.5Over won
- Spread: Wagner Seahawks (-1.5)Mercyhurst Lakers won
- Spread: Wagner Seahawks (-3.5)Mercyhurst Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.