Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00c0f646787d4bdc3f565c0bdb1940cc06319e68ffbcac41d2d111b0e2018c93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.98 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 5,802$3,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.56 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 3,816$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.8 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 2,472$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.34 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 22c | 1,781$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.3 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 65c | 1,490$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.66 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…c7b1backed Yes | 73c | 700.86$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.61 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 44c | 576$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.01 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 75c | 527.87$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.82 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 38c | 399$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.55 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 322.11$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.65 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…a19bbacked No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 295.28$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.96 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 45c | 265.41$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…e25abacked Yes | 80c | 244.84$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 37c | 163$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 56c | 139.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 43c | 109.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 28c | 105.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 102.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 40c | 100.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed No | 56c | 93.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 25c | 84.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -9.7wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 21c | 78.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…64bcbacked Yes | 80c | 77.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 19c | 71.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…0f5abacked No | 65c | 67.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 65c | 62.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 65c | 59.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 52c | 51.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d6…669ebacked Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…cccbbacked Yes | 36c | 29.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…47a5backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Yes | 73c | 24.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Yes | 72c | 17.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.