Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d3026f7f529e1bb01c678b50ac7dbc8f76a147a9c667709ec12b53acc84c798
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 23c | 830.75$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.68 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 750.96$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.18 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 615.53$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.33 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 29c | 520$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.2 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 70 | 82.9%58 W · 12 L | +14.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.79 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 341.26$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.89 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 50c | 327.88$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.69 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 17c | 275.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 265.41$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.57 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No | 6c | 252.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 243.58$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.98 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed No | 24c | 180.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 66c | 149.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 118$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 64c | 105$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…924abacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…6190backed Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 83.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…e25abacked Yes | 78c | 67.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 26c | 65.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 53c | 56.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 22c | 54.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 54c | 51.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 64c | 49.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 70c | 42.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ca…167cbacked Yes | 61c | 18.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-25?No won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.