TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,183
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,183 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No59c41,989$24,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,695.612,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Yes42c40,999$17,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,684.424658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes42c30,910$12,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,927.917938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No58c30,000$17,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,40010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes38c5,674$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,517.963154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No57c5,477$3,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.0311848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c5,340$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.791,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes42c4,136$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.2327737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c3,692$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.2193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No58c3,455$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.9215550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No58c3,273$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.12254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…f2f2backed No47c3,090$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4421050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes43c2,793$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.022737%10 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes39c2,565$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.431618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No45c2,414$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.14744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+86.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Yes38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked No62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85522237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes43c1,395$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.354656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes38c1,325$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.132454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes39c1,246$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.3241943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Yes43c996.13$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.691931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-41.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No49c980.8$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47835646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No63c943.57$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.812774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+46.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Yes40c932.5$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No62c821.58$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.1311153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes41c807.48$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.481637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes40c756.79$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.587337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes60c746.52$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.9896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes36c706.38$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9344753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes43c700$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3993844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes39c700$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4276350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41324939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10d0…7b84backed Yes43c697.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.82650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes51c687$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.0832843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed No58c644.47$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.794652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes43c558.14$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.142330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8213553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes35c508.52$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.523046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No38c508.26$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9624849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No39c499.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1967226.4%19 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes35c496.86$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.9611832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff63…5aa1backed No59c490.48$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes55c490.45$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.920033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…aa11backed Yes42c480.44$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No6c473.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.344320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes43c459.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.832441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No60c457$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27512452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed No65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Yes42c388.91$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.282347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No58c380.88$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.324641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes42c358$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.643164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad1b…5da0backed Yes43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.842161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.844955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes57c312.82$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2624238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No59c305.97$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.599037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed No46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1389846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Yes34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes43c276.74$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.741650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.163644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cd6…b378backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.413458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No23c251.21$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.613639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No58c250.16$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.13348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes42c249.98$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9910744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No58c245.98$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.446162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e5b…0324backed Yes43c245.09$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+129.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No58c244.34$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.934242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.95251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes42c240$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.24562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes43c239.3$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.44845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes37c238.97$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8348144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5626744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.565250%26 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca00…2256backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.562030%6 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes44c227.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.52487.5%21 W · 3 L+6.4wins+0.27per pick61cpaid+46.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11616842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked No58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ec…ba9fbacked No58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No58c157$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0617651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c19…accebacked No64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.521643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed No29c150$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No61c144$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8413550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ccf…b312backed Yes42c143.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.661450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes62c136.9$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4222373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked No19c134.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.334727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-39.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x317e…a004backed Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No61c131$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.919150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2112347.2%58 W · 65 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14c4…1a5ebacked No58c128$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No58c127.59$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c5…b3adbacked Yes44c127$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.12560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+124.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed No16c126.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.473243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed No12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.285841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes43c115.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.622347.8%11 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes36c110$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705162.7%32 W · 19 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.