Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeb726e1c046bba94a080e93a2efb5b9ee77549a417a4127c14311bd053093ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 8,301$6,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.15 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 7,288$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.36 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 31c | 6,320$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.72 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 6,015$4,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.52 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 67c | 5,177$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.18 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 10c | 4,921$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.11 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 4,166$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.83 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 69c | 1,348$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.03 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,017$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 925.31$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.41 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 922.85$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.08 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 30c | 846.67$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 80c | 783.83$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.16 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 30c | 740$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 70c | 661.67$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.5 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 9c | 637.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 30c | 596.65$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc122…731fbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 409.38$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.35 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 29c | 399.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 354.58$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 30c | 340$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…30b5backed No | 69c | 303.02$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 30c | 225.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…6052backed No | 71c | 218.31$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Yes | 30c | 206.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 70c | 187.77$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 29c | 181.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 63c | 155.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed No | 71c | 141$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b94…d008backed No | 72c | 112.52$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed No | 70c | 105.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4c…d5dbbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +211.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 67c | 91.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eda…1847backed Yes | 30c | 87.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 69c | 79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…2302backed Yes | 31c | 75.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 30c | 74.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…8765backed Yes | 31c | 73.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…594bbacked Yes | 30c | 71.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 41c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed Yes | 31c | 65.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd185…c336backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 71c | 57.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…8b3abacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 32c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 72c | 43.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 43.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 69c | 43.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…a38dbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…cfd3backed Yes | 30c | 41.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…e6a5backed Yes | 39c | 31.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40c…6306backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked No | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…d267backed No | 71c | 17.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 71c | 14.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-14?No won
- Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.