Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b7d93363f653b3cc7d16f6edc9d60d04559032a1101e0a73bec99038c758c0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 18,627$13,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,843.42 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 71c | 5,447$3,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.73 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 29c | 5,141$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.87 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 29c | 3,620$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 72c | 3,500$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 29c | 3,029$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.34 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 28c | 3,000$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 1,904$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.24 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 71c | 1,763$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 32c | 1,539$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 30c | 1,430$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,166$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.3 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 1c | 1,135$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 22c | 1,107$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 31c | 1,100$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 28c | 989.24$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.99 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…46a6backed Yes | 25c | 956.85$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 72c | 908.26$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.04 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 29c | 900$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 70c | 878.7$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.61 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 828.31$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.86 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 33c | 758$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.14 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 28c | 747.9$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.23 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 23c | 695.65$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 605.33$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.18 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 29c | 586.21$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 28c | 535.75$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Yes | 21c | 480$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc122…731fbacked Yes | 25c | 470$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 30c | 466.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 30c | 440.02$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.49 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 72c | 434.72$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.72 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac3…d015backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 326.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.34 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 30c | 300$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 71c | 299.72$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.91 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 29c | 286.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 29c | 275.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 30c | 268.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 67c | 255.63$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Yes | 29c | 249.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Yes | 12c | 225$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 7cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…992cbacked No | 67c | 212.33$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 202.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…e840backed No | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd797…7183backed No | 73c | 195.71$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed Yes | 29c | 181.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 66c | 173.62$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…5857backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…3f5abacked Yes | 29c | 171.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 67c | 158.4$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 26c | 156.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 31c | 148.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 31c | 148.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed No | 69c | 140$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 71c | 130.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked No | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Yes | 22c | 108$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x456d…68d9backed No | 67c | 105.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…1e6bbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 71c | 95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 71c | 94.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…0677backed Yes | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Yes | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…eaa7backed No | 71c | 87.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…adadbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 73c | 85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 30c | 83.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2df3…9155backed No | 68c | 83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…8b3abacked Yes | 26c | 80.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 31c | 78.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…d414backed Yes | 26c | 77.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927b…3735backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 28c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 27c | 72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +5.0wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.