CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs 33 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f691b73e1df1cf95fc2e1927b1b3cb7017a68bca28dd0721267dba16d5f9b18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 33of AM Gaming, 33
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ec…5348backed AM Gaming | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c8…d2d0backed 33 | 50c | 3,300$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed 33 | 48c | 2,476$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.06 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…1c82backed 33 | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked AM Gaming | 55c | 906.11$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.8 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked AM Gaming | 52c | 865.38$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed AM Gaming | 63c | 671.87$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.88 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed AM Gaming | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 33 | 54c | 582.09$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.66 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed AM Gaming | 52c | 531.13$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked 33 | 40c | 504$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked 33 | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed AM Gaming | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2694…415abacked AM Gaming | 3c | 469.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed AM Gaming | 3c | 425.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked 33 | 40c | 399.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed 33 | 56c | 340.95$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AM Gaming | 47c | 339.74$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.36 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2312…016fbacked AM Gaming | 62c | 321.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed AM Gaming | 19c | 285.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed AM Gaming | 49c | 254$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.46 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked 33 | 44c | 226.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.95 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed 33 | 50c | 223$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked AM Gaming | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed AM Gaming | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked 33 | 65c | 180.64$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked AM Gaming | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed AM Gaming | 61c | 132.62$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed AM Gaming | 37c | 132.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bad…2e78backed AM Gaming | 53c | 132.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed 33 | 45c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked AM Gaming | 53c | 108.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed 33 | 35c | 103.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed 33 | 50c | 100.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed AM Gaming | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed AM Gaming | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed AM Gaming | 23c | 93.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed 33 | 47c | 85.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed 33 | 43c | 72.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed 33 | 56c | 65.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed 33 | 44c | 65.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…038abacked AM Gaming | 62c | 61.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked 33 | 46c | 55.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed 33 | 42c | 46.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…becbbacked AM Gaming | 59c | 45.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed 33 | 57c | 41.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed 33 | 51c | 39.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked AM Gaming | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked AM Gaming | 59c | 32.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…4d1fbacked AM Gaming | 58c | 29.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked 33 | 44c | 25.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e860backed AM Gaming | 51c | 23.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…47a5backed AM Gaming | 58c | 19.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed 33 | 78c | 13.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.