Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Creighton Bluejays vs. Villanova Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8373a3413ca6ad292e35a995680823cadc53e9248c957d78eacdf7783565cd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Creighton Bluejaysof Creighton Bluejays, Villanova Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Creighton Bluejays | 46c | 11,382$5,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,109.92 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Villanova Wildcats | 10c | 10,720$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.2 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Villanova Wildcats | 44c | 5,300$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.4 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Villanova Wildcats | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Creighton Bluejays | 31c | 2,202$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.37 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Villanova Wildcats | 67c | 1,801$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.82 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Villanova Wildcats | 1c | 1,377$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Creighton Bluejays | 58c | 1,143$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.36 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Creighton Bluejays | 42c | 1,005$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Creighton Bluejays | 71c | 989.94$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.68 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Villanova Wildcats | 65c | 875.69$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.16 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Creighton Bluejays | 32c | 590.63$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.63 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Villanova Wildcats | 59c | 555.13$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.69 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Creighton Bluejays | 31c | 492.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.6 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Creighton Bluejays | 22c | 456.26$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.24 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Villanova Wildcats | 45c | 440.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Creighton Bluejays | 30c | 373.44$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.41 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Creighton Bluejays | 52c | 361.07$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.24 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Villanova Wildcats | 28c | 359.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Villanova Wildcats | 55c | 312.2$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.44 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Creighton Bluejays | 78c | 275.27$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Villanova Wildcats | 42c | 262.22$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Villanova Wildcats | 61c | 249.94$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.47 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Villanova Wildcats | 67c | 246.28$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.14 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Villanova Wildcats | 32c | 226.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Creighton Bluejays | 29c | 170$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Villanova Wildcats | 68c | 161$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Villanova Wildcats | 24c | 122.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Villanova Wildcats | 70c | 113$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Creighton Bluejays | 31c | 112.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Creighton Bluejays | 50c | 88.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Creighton Bluejays | 34c | 69.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Villanova Wildcats | 40c | 61.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Villanova Wildcats | 37c | 60.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Creighton Bluejays | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Creighton Bluejays | 31c | 58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Villanova Wildcats | 70c | 52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Creighton Bluejays | 36c | 42.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Villanova Wildcats | 24c | 41.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Villanova Wildcats | 69c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Villanova Wildcats | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Creighton Bluejays | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…47a5backed Villanova Wildcats | 75c | 29.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…1132backed Villanova Wildcats | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Villanova Wildcats | 70c | 23.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Villanova Wildcats | 67c | 20.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Creighton Bluejays | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Villanova Wildcatsthis page
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 139.5Over won
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-5.5)Creighton Bluejays won
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-6.5)Creighton Bluejays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.