TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Oregon Ducks vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rutgers Scarlet Knightsof Oregon Ducks, Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights71c9,459$6,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,712.265,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Oregon Ducks31c8,541$2,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,625.758639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Oregon Ducks65c6,154$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00035151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights35c5,000$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,25022645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oregon Ducks36c4,826$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.951,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Oregon Ducks27c3,474$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.981,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights36c2,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60061652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights62c1,970$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.131,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oregon Ducks61c1,554$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.443,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.9920026%52 W · 148 L+0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Oregon Ducks57c1,357$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.672,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights75c1,269$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.5815861.4%97 W · 61 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights36c1,263$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.212,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Oregon Ducks68c1,200$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.481,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights35c1,032$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.016643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights36c999.92$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.951,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Oregon Ducks32c935$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.6855657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Oregon Ducks23c932.84$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.1442327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Oregon Ducks63c704.06$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.734,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights37c608$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.042152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Oregon Ducks63c601.09$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.785,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Oregon Ducks36c529.34$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0773549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8826…36d5backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights32c486.26$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.6752928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oregon Ducks38c391$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.291,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights36c354$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.561,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights40c343.72$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.843,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2a…f4f7backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1953259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.782524%6 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Oregon Ducks67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008956.2%50 W · 39 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Oregon Ducks16c284.19$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.822,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights48c269.13$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.1312642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Oregon Ducks64c249.32$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Oregon Ducks40c241.03$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3532343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Oregon Ducks10c204.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.013993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights30c200.3$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.464,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights37c199.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.991,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Oregon Ducks31c197.71$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.777324.7%18 W · 55 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Oregon Ducks23c185.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.872,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f1…47a5backed Oregon Ducks21c157.34$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331936.8%7 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-42.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights27c133.74$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.631,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Oregon Ducks41c129.95$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.844517.8%8 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-61%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc11e…789fbacked Oregon Ducks60c125.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights59c122.52$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.352,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Oregon Ducks29c120$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.734649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Oregon Ducks35c111$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6861446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights51c108.92$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3714925.5%38 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights37c107.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6820051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d55…7cbabacked Oregon Ducks30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307149.3%35 W · 36 L+19.3wins+0.27per pick22cpaid+92.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights34c94.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5445953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb0…e797backed Oregon Ducks71c87.32$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Oregon Ducks71c84.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607452.7%39 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Oregon Ducks51c74.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6736845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Oregon Ducks64c73.85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.411,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights35c72.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0291848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c0…bf69backed Oregon Ducks71c63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights48c55.74$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7410458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb59b…a8e0backed Oregon Ducks74c54.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights19c53.57$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.53520%7 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c52.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0645644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6809…b188backed Oregon Ducks71c50.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.462962.1%18 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x207b…df20backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights37c47.97$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.222740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Oregon Ducks42c47.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xea89…0ad7backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights31c45.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Oregon Ducks24c42.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.289412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights30c39.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7722756.4%128 W · 99 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Oregon Ducks64c38.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5621535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights51c36.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.911,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights35c35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+178%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfef0…1bcdbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights32c34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x056b…491cbacked Oregon Ducks65c30.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.95540%22 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights37c29.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3710058%58 W · 42 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8bf3…a5cebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights43c28.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.231414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-66.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8cd0…732cbacked Oregon Ducks64c27.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-47.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6944…3902backed Oregon Ducks70c24.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-62.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x48b1…7cf6backed Oregon Ducks64c23.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Oregon Ducks64c22.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5335243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Oregon Ducks59c20.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.975843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd1…0b70backed Oregon Ducks61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.24770.2%33 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights67c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6110252%53 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Oregon Ducks64c16.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7614846.6%69 W · 79 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Oregon Ducks65c16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.411743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.