TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Coastal Carolina Chanticleersof Appalachian State Mountaineers, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,369
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,369 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x97c3…b479backed Appalachian State Mountaineers69c3,402$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,337.4712840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers37c1,830$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.933,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers22c1,574$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.9214021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers51c1,454$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.832,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers21c985.07$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.641,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers16c866.56$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.791,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Appalachian State Mountaineers45c619.98$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.752,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers34c467.76$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.2642327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers50c351.84$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.294,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers54c338$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.172248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Appalachian State Mountaineers79c213.07$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.33425%1 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick76cpaid-66.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers48c208$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6149747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers16c200$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16813313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f29…9d73backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1048253.7%44 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Appalachian State Mountaineers54c171.11$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.453646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers27c162.35$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.521,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Appalachian State Mountaineers79c133.66$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.592,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers24c120.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4438343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Appalachian State Mountaineers26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7441…cb79backed Appalachian State Mountaineers53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.33per pick41cpaid-80.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcfcf…78a2backed Appalachian State Mountaineers21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers42c93.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6373549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers75c92.61$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.465750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Appalachian State Mountaineers49c91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4512642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers47c88.55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.183,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers59c85.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Appalachian State Mountaineers32c84.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.771,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Appalachian State Mountaineers38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.434649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba6…0fbdbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers80c75.9$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Appalachian State Mountaineers26c75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.472,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers19c74.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4f…bd86backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers73c66.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers63c63.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402763%17 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers52c61.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers21c52.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.321,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Appalachian State Mountaineers50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Appalachian State Mountaineers78c48.35$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.711758.8%10 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick71cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a8…642bbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers78c44.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.881553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick72cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers54c44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.051,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers50c42.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3745953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8225…c0b9backed Appalachian State Mountaineers73c42.34$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f1…47a5backed Appalachian State Mountaineers78c37.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291936.8%7 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-42.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers41c33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.422050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc13…b6a8backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers61c32.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.73650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0f…1132backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.642382.6%19 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84a6…4aa8backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers78c21.63$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7619057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Appalachian State Mountaineers50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a29…b807backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd4…d37abacked Appalachian State Mountaineers76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2425%1 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick76cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53a4…7d04backed Appalachian State Mountaineers76c18.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers57c17.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.666543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.