Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 134.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf88c526dff24f89c10e18064e869261dc1c22898874857ed2b9985e135e1ccdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,195,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,654,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,195,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 665,471$326,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326,080.39 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Under | 51c | 460,004$234,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225,402 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 51c | 200,000$102,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,000 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Under | 52c | 47,801$25,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,785.98 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 6,825$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 3,142$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.77 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 2,833$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.63 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 2,250$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Over | 48c | 2,030$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.4 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 48c | 1,955$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.4 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,509$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.28 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 54c | 1,172$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.21 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 825.09$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.04 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 48c | 701$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.48 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 596$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.14 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 54c | 308$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 231$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.46 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Under | 52c | 199.95$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 50c | 184.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 47c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Under | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 74.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 134.5this page
- Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Coastal Carolina ChanticleersCoastal Carolina Chanticleers won
- Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 132.5Under won
- Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 133.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.