TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfc13…b6a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT5867.2%39 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.53
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Blackhawks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Predators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Blackhawks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Blackhawksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Canucks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST4042.5%17 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$51.43
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Thunderbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$96.92
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.9%+$9.58
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+139.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+132.5%+$132.49
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$42.16
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.