TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Le Moyne Dolphins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsof Central Connecticut State Blue Devils, Le Moyne Dolphins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$842,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$858,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $842,648 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Le Moyne Dolphins55c510,909$279,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279,480.935945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils45c292,285$132,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159,660.7169142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Le Moyne Dolphins55c150,000$82,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,0002650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils45c140,000$63,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,0009050%45 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils45c133,337$60,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,335.353141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils46c50,000$23,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,0004252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils45c17,500$7,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,62590645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils46c15,000$6,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0505843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,50036944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils59c9,105$5,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,774.524746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils50c8,599$4,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,291.262,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Le Moyne Dolphins55c6,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3002759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils50c3,134$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.232,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65039744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaffb…9801backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils76c2,771$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.98580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils45c2,316$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.83951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils45c2,200$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2109856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Le Moyne Dolphins24c2,125$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.8921636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ece…ef2fbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils47c2,110$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.25616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1dd6…8577backed Le Moyne Dolphins38c1,949$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.48825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils46c1,818$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.588351.8%43 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils45c1,810$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.51850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils47c1,636$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.175044%22 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils46c1,550$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.9812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.4355749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Le Moyne Dolphins28c1,251$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.5742327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Le Moyne Dolphins50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils46c1,159$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.265,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5305440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils55c992.81$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.932,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils47c755.32$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.32616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-64.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Le Moyne Dolphins50c717$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.51,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Le Moyne Dolphins21c668.81$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.111,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Le Moyne Dolphins49c665$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.681453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Le Moyne Dolphins20c640$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.522,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Le Moyne Dolphins11c607.44$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.981,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31889850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils49c572.81$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.914,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils45c540.87$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.4882048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils45c483$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.512,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.781,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7827045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Le Moyne Dolphins24c433.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.051,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Le Moyne Dolphins11c432.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.612,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils69c328.23$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2438343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Le Moyne Dolphins6c260.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.651,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils46c222$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8818046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50ba…5435backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Le Moyne Dolphins29c189.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils46c184.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7735050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Le Moyne Dolphins26c171.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.273,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7441…cb79backed Le Moyne Dolphins43c156.93$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.75128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.33per pick41cpaid-80.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils65c150.55$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.581,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils46c108.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8318646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils46c106.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.112,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils73c102.53$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4645953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0915…d08abacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils46c96.61$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1715844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cac…f75cbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils45c89.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.492245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Le Moyne Dolphins51c86.27$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.881,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84e5…2d42backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils78c82.39$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Le Moyne Dolphins26c78.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0445644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f4b…f574backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils69c73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.981050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils61c73$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4734649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.24257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Le Moyne Dolphins27c70$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.149747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Le Moyne Dolphins23c69.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.089412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…3e52backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils70c67.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils64c59.37$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.632343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Le Moyne Dolphins24c53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.491,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x382c…2261backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils77c52.27$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.273470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils48c51.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.631428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-51.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils69c51.54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.131,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13a8…642bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils78c51.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.441553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick72cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Le Moyne Dolphins26c49.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8130746.3%142 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils46c47.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581b…f083backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils45c40.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.262948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2222552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils74c31.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.141,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3552…bbb2backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc13…b6a8backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils69c28.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.79650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8918…f4e4backed Le Moyne Dolphins54c25.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9b…5d0cbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils52c25.51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…a96dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins55c22.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Le Moyne Dolphins52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.473549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…7ab1backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils74c19.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.011560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa2b…c35dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils75c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.