Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Le Moyne Dolphins (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1e7cddd9a7d80bc326396c251e2f009a8768d8b040394a4428b9772150a5e5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsof Le Moyne Dolphins, Central Connecticut State Blue Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 52c | 114,089$59,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,323.39 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 48c | 92,771$44,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,240.76 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 49c | 20,000$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,300 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 50c | 859.56$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.78 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 50c | 807$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.82 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 49c | 551.02$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.68 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 53c | 444.6$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.96 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 54c | 352.88$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.32 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 48c | 236.2$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.86 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 50c | 227.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 49c | 167.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 49c | 137.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 51c | 105.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 49c | 88.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 49c | 83.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 52c | 30.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 48c | 27.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a59…de1ebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Le Moyne Dolphins (-1.5)this page
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Le Moyne DolphinsCentral Connecticut State Blue Devils won
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 145.5Under won
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 146.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.