Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cc5409b57117396132aec837c01e3c442fe1d1294776f2a24c2077a5f8dee16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzaga Bulldogsof Santa Clara Broncos, Gonzaga Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Santa Clara Broncos | 17c | 14,691$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.69 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Santa Clara Broncos | 1c | 6,650$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 7c | 3,800$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.76 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Santa Clara Broncos | 14c | 3,039$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 14c | 2,038$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.06 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 14c | 1,897$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.01 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…d34abacked Santa Clara Broncos | 12c | 1,696$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Santa Clara Broncos | 8c | 1,490$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.57 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 10c | 1,458$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.21 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Santa Clara Broncos | 17c | 1,361$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.42 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Santa Clara Broncos | 9c | 1,200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 17c | 1,136$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.35 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 8c | 1,100$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Santa Clara Broncos | 24c | 1,086$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Santa Clara Broncos | 11c | 1,067$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Santa Clara Broncos | 17c | 1,063$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.41 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Santa Clara Broncos | 13c | 808.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Santa Clara Broncos | 17c | 796.59$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Santa Clara Broncos | 8c | 750.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 15c | 667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Santa Clara Broncos | 16c | 621.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 17c | 588.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Santa Clara Broncos | 6c | 588.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Santa Clara Broncos | 12c | 493.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c50…f592backed Santa Clara Broncos | 14c | 433$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e75…6e08backed Santa Clara Broncos | 8c | 422.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Santa Clara Broncos | 16c | 416.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 22c | 414.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 78c | 401.81$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.87 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc526…bf92backed Santa Clara Broncos | 9c | 388.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…b61fbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a5…cf2dbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 6c | 240.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 15c | 215.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 9c | 209.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 15c | 199.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Santa Clara Broncos | 16c | 187.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Santa Clara Broncos | 7c | 181.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Santa Clara Broncos | 8c | 180$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Santa Clara Broncos | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Santa Clara Broncos | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Santa Clara Broncos | 8c | 146.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb670…4285backed Santa Clara Broncos | 16c | 125.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc13…b6a8backed Santa Clara Broncos | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c76…60bfbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 16c | 100.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cc…a6f4backed Santa Clara Broncos | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ed…50efbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 78c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…2427backed Santa Clara Broncos | 13c | 89.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Santa Clara Broncos | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb303…d28ebacked Santa Clara Broncos | 17c | 81.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Santa Clara Broncos | 15c | 80.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Santa Clara Broncos | 20c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsthis page
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 166.5Under won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-15.5)Santa Clara Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.