Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UCLA Bruins vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x493c7f11447cffa7b68ca53f6e9451fb3e4d3ebbf94a23aca3b3ce23ba242b16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCLA Bruinsof UCLA Bruins, Penn State Nittany Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed UCLA Bruins | 71c | 2,707$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.12 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 33c | 2,205$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.3 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 30c | 1,313$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.28 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UCLA Bruins | 62c | 1,163$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.6 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 35c | 1,015$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.25 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 34c | 919.5$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.92 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UCLA Bruins | 66c | 728.49$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.85 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe51e…967abacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 16c | 639.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UCLA Bruins | 70c | 606.4$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.87 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 28c | 604.81$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.67 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed UCLA Bruins | 78c | 530$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed UCLA Bruins | 69c | 470$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.1 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UCLA Bruins | 67c | 460.52$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UCLA Bruins | 62c | 399.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed UCLA Bruins | 70c | 342$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked UCLA Bruins | 76c | 293.43$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed UCLA Bruins | 73c | 282.98$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 41c | 281.88$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 251.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UCLA Bruins | 74c | 204.96$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked UCLA Bruins | 74c | 182.81$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed UCLA Bruins | 66c | 181.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 25c | 177.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed UCLA Bruins | 69c | 169.81$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UCLA Bruins | 65c | 163.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0236…fa20backed UCLA Bruins | 68c | 161.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UCLA Bruins | 68c | 158$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed UCLA Bruins | 64c | 125.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 32c | 119.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed UCLA Bruins | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UCLA Bruins | 64c | 95.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UCLA Bruins | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UCLA Bruins | 75c | 84.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed UCLA Bruins | 61c | 77.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 35c | 69.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -12.0wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed UCLA Bruins | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked UCLA Bruins | 62c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed UCLA Bruins | 67c | 39.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 34c | 38.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed UCLA Bruins | 67c | 37.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…e7d4backed UCLA Bruins | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed UCLA Bruins | 67c | 34.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…3703backed UCLA Bruins | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e33…705abacked UCLA Bruins | 80c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UCLA Bruins | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…d9f5backed UCLA Bruins | 70c | 16.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…d613backed UCLA Bruins | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCLA Bruins vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsthis page
- UCLA Bruins vs. Penn State Nittany Lions: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.