Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eced0226f84cfc82830fe407a7ef2b00d8bbb3d8a0b729e339fd534b008917f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama Crimson Tideof Alabama Crimson Tide, Mississippi State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 35c | 4,597$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.04 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 38c | 3,543$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.91 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 65c | 3,233$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 70c | 1,514$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.47 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 72c | 1,258$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.4 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 5c | 1,243$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 66c | 1,239$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.71 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 66c | 1,171$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.98 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 881.86$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.84 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 35c | 879$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.65 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 19c | 821.24$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.94 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 33c | 721.27$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.3 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 65c | 562.56$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.85 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 63c | 484.42$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.79 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 67c | 458.98$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.63 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 30c | 425.83$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.91 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 33c | 419.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 43c | 409.36$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.02 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 32c | 401.61$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 63c | 400$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 37c | 396.9$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.31 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6507…6e4fbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…47bcbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 7c | 283.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 36c | 280.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.77 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 73c | 255.64$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 35c | 255.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 35c | 252.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 8c | 251.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 26c | 229.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 66c | 224.5$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 69c | 219.48$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 32c | 216$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 70c | 199.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 32c | 157.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 40c | 153.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 36c | 143.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 39c | 117.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 65c | 89.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 33c | 87.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 24c | 72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 33c | 68.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 67c | 61.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 43c | 56.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3c…c595backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 35c | 55.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 41c | 50.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 36c | 50.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eeb…3a88backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 25c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 43c | 45.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 64c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 43c | 41.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce5…8fa2backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…3703backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 66c | 28.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 71c | 28.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…84babacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.