Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ball State Cardinals vs. Central Michigan Chippewas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x342d19c7a36f7184a511a18c0163323ff95ddf15087da4450adae76cda55240f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ball State Cardinalsof Ball State Cardinals, Central Michigan Chippewas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Ball State Cardinals | 50c | 4,839$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.81 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 31c | 2,394$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaee…4229backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 23c | 2,392$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ball State Cardinals | 76c | 2,233$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.71 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 18c | 2,113$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.92 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ball State Cardinals | 65c | 1,511$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.58 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ball State Cardinals | 75c | 1,460$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.51 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Ball State Cardinals | 48c | 1,432$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 48c | 1,262$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.03 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 17c | 1,100$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.25 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 50c | 824$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 36c | 742.09$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.28 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 30c | 732.85$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.09 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 28c | 722.21$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 50c | 715.15$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.58 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 50c | 628.71$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.36 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Ball State Cardinals | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Ball State Cardinals | 74c | 558.81$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.43 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…fd9dbacked Ball State Cardinals | 50c | 508$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 51c | 498$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.89 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ball State Cardinals | 73c | 387.96$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Ball State Cardinals | 71c | 340.43$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 52c | 292.01$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.77 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Ball State Cardinals | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Ball State Cardinals | 63c | 180.91$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e7…a5debacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 152.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…50c6backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 25c | 142.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…013bbacked Ball State Cardinals | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 52c | 126$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ball State Cardinals | 65c | 119.45$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Ball State Cardinals | 79c | 116.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d5…173dbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 17c | 115.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Ball State Cardinals | 72c | 106.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…f4d3backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 17c | 100.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -17.2wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Ball State Cardinals | 72c | 82.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…99b4backed Ball State Cardinals | 63c | 79.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 20c | 77.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 39c | 77.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 27c | 67.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ball State Cardinals | 54c | 64.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Ball State Cardinals | 49c | 63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 23c | 53.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 28c | 42.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…3703backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Ball State Cardinals | 50c | 38.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Ball State Cardinals | 64c | 37.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Ball State Cardinals | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Ball State Cardinals | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 49c | 30.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…0eb0backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 51c | 30.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…8161backed Ball State Cardinals | 49c | 30.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…4e5cbacked Ball State Cardinals | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b6…c7c6backed Ball State Cardinals | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Ball State Cardinals | 49c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Ball State Cardinals | 42c | 24.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Ball State Cardinals | 72c | 23.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Ball State Cardinals | 50c | 21.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…7c26backed Ball State Cardinals | 48c | 21.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…f288backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 52c | 21.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Ball State Cardinals | 78c | 21.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1845…6eecbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 53c | 18.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Ball State Cardinals | 79c | 13.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ball State Cardinals vs. Central Michigan Chippewasthis page
- Ball State Cardinals vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: Ball State Cardinals (-1.5)Central Michigan Chippewas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.