Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UMBC Retrievers vs. Binghamton Bearcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbadedc4f28d76fb8478186c250c1ed4b274dcd104dfcf3f54df4ee5d7b394ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UMBC Retrieversof UMBC Retrievers, Binghamton Bearcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x085d…5302backed Binghamton Bearcats | 7c | 869.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Binghamton Bearcats | 30c | 352.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Binghamton Bearcats | 21c | 351.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Binghamton Bearcats | 8c | 310.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UMBC Retrievers | 79c | 226.06$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed UMBC Retrievers | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 34c | 193.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Binghamton Bearcats | 9c | 137.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed UMBC Retrievers | 70c | 127$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed UMBC Retrievers | 77c | 102.49$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 31c | 90.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed UMBC Retrievers | 71c | 69.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked UMBC Retrievers | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Binghamton Bearcats | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Binghamton Bearcats | 31c | 48.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Binghamton Bearcats | 32c | 46.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UMBC Retrievers | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed UMBC Retrievers | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…a474backed UMBC Retrievers | 69c | 23.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…3703backed UMBC Retrievers | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UMBC Retrievers vs. Binghamton Bearcatsthis page
- UMBC Retrievers vs. Binghamton Bearcats: O/U 140.5Under won
- UMBC Retrievers vs. Binghamton Bearcats: O/U 141.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.