Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xded83b7a4714f897d36e1e4e5e278b83a58e8cb4ad7fdb7fad672a1b185414f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogsof Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 3c | 7,766$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,547.21 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 75c | 2,210$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.76 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 1c | 1,075$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…08f5backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 2c | 900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 32c | 892$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.65 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 24c | 761.86$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.44 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 13c | 688.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.68 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 10c | 647.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.19 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 64c | 571.84$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 38c | 518.38$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.4 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 15c | 515.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.45 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 21c | 460.95$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.25 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 50c | 442.07$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.42 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 7c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 42c | 343$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.94 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 78c | 254.91$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.79 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 40c | 252.95$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.77 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 12c | 138.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.66 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 53c | 131$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 30c | 106.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 40c | 88.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +235.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 60c | 83.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 74c | 81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 13c | 80$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 40c | 73.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 21c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…3703backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…6e74backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…4d28backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…3695backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsthis page
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 132.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.