TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Auburn Tigers vs. Missouri Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Missouri Tigersof Auburn Tigers, Missouri Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,204

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,306 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x256b…cd5dbacked Missouri Tigers70c6,751$4,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.6713342.1%56 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Auburn Tigers51c3,877$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.8912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Missouri Tigers49c2,645$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.939744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Auburn Tigers52c2,565$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.182,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Auburn Tigers9c2,194$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.241,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Missouri Tigers48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0405466.7%36 W · 18 L+8.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Auburn Tigers27c1,990$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.735,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Missouri Tigers74c1,827$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.7646446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Missouri Tigers49c1,783$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.5481453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Auburn Tigers52c1,735$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.191,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Auburn Tigers51c1,667$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.0960548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Auburn Tigers35c1,537$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.0811439.5%45 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6600…e5c6backed Missouri Tigers48c1,395$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.651533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Missouri Tigers49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.417550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Auburn Tigers26c1,015$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2609849%48 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Missouri Tigers49c817.87$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.8755749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Auburn Tigers62c633.97$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.056043.3%26 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Missouri Tigers61c602.45$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.742,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Missouri Tigers48c588.33$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.932,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Missouri Tigers50c576.18$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.851,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Auburn Tigers53c513.21$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27211946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Missouri Tigers61c439.73$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.514,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Auburn Tigers3c418.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.093993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Auburn Tigers52c393.47$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.61,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7820…60a9backed Auburn Tigers41c330$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Missouri Tigers53c315.02$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.061,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Missouri Tigers74c299.72$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.943,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Auburn Tigers44c267.13$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2872248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Missouri Tigers48c260$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.22,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Missouri Tigers50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13016248.1%78 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Auburn Tigers51c252$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5282048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Missouri Tigers49c250.16$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0810652.8%56 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Auburn Tigers28c247.63$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.41,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Missouri Tigers50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Auburn Tigers50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11065825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Missouri Tigers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.333652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Missouri Tigers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0811444.7%51 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Auburn Tigers53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10624649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Auburn Tigers53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Auburn Tigers51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10211560%69 W · 46 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Auburn Tigers13c173.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.364,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Auburn Tigers48c168.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.033,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d9…e3e6backed Missouri Tigers61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Auburn Tigers40c152.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.261,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Auburn Tigers58c124$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.549747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Auburn Tigers10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1064322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Auburn Tigers49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4934649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Auburn Tigers48c93.87$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9457335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26b9…9ab5backed Auburn Tigers51c78.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404850%24 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Missouri Tigers47c74.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.499045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Missouri Tigers68c73.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9645953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5650…4cd8backed Auburn Tigers15c73.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82763%17 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Missouri Tigers50c59.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8237835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c07…aeb0backed Auburn Tigers52c55.76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.123948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Missouri Tigers55c42.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0348051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Auburn Tigers46c42.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6132343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa96b…7d92backed Auburn Tigers51c41.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Auburn Tigers52c38.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.152,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e2…3703backed Auburn Tigers53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Missouri Tigers51c36.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9242246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf76b…8f52backed Auburn Tigers38c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.271931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked Auburn Tigers52c34.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0310151.5%52 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Auburn Tigers39c34.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4266831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb68a…f229backed Missouri Tigers62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-77%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Missouri Tigers46c32.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.483,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Missouri Tigers48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2536248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Auburn Tigers51c30.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6813840.6%56 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Missouri Tigers53c28.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0636845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Auburn Tigers52c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.044266.7%28 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Auburn Tigers52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9514846.6%69 W · 79 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f8…5486backed Auburn Tigers51c22.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4440%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed68…b870backed Auburn Tigers52c21.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.942045%9 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf739…8167backed Missouri Tigers48c21.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.941656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6460…84efbacked Auburn Tigers59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.74153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.