TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Rider Broncs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sacred Heart Pioneersof Sacred Heart Pioneers, Rider Broncs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,804 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x79cb…331ebacked Rider Broncs2c721.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.683993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Sacred Heart Pioneers64c467$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.121,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Rider Broncs36c458.61$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.199045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers76c428.41$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.164,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Sacred Heart Pioneers79c308.55$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1624444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Rider Broncs9c301.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8913550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rider Broncs16c255.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.252,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers79c228.17$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.091,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Rider Broncs23c219$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7617546.3%81 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rider Broncs20c108$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.961,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Sacred Heart Pioneers78c93.59$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.222,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Sacred Heart Pioneers66c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.553646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rider Broncs34c68.24$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sacred Heart Pioneers57c67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.813,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rider Broncs28c56.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.821,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers78c55.96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5587047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rider Broncs39c49.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Sacred Heart Pioneers50c48.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.981,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Sacred Heart Pioneers38c42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0464322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Sacred Heart Pioneers39c41.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.661,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Rider Broncs36c41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.763,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Rider Broncs36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.420254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fff…665bbacked Rider Broncs38c28.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-44.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rider Broncs41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.322,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e2…3703backed Sacred Heart Pioneers63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.813860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f0…ab20backed Sacred Heart Pioneers61c22.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…2ce2backed Sacred Heart Pioneers63c22.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.372458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.