Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8407e69a0caa2d82850a6b732b8614680b96ebe5b2124b8844a538a1b407fe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baylor Bearsof Baylor Bears, Oklahoma State Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Baylor Bears | 54c | 7,838$4,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.88 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 48c | 3,181$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.82 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 47c | 2,613$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.11 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 49c | 1,688$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.68 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Baylor Bears | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baylor Bears | 76c | 1,273$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.7 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Baylor Bears | 54c | 1,075$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.59 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 35c | 1,049$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.44 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 46c | 934.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 49c | 808.86$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.31 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 28c | 568.32$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.92 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 51c | 549$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…47bcbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 4c | 533.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 48c | 516.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 47c | 466.9$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 6c | 466.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 448.56$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.36 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 3c | 393.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Baylor Bears | 54c | 370.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.65 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Baylor Bears | 53c | 362.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 7c | 340.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 7c | 278.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 269.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6615…6fc3backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 9c | 269.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Baylor Bears | 45c | 249$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 10c | 220$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 51c | 194.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 36c | 180.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Baylor Bears | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Baylor Bears | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 13c | 147.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 47c | 122.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Baylor Bears | 52c | 119.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Baylor Bears | 63c | 119.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Baylor Bears | 72c | 110.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Baylor Bears | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa114…55b7backed Baylor Bears | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…cd44backed Baylor Bears | 54c | 98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 32c | 94.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 35c | 82.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 35c | 75.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Baylor Bears | 30c | 64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +19.3wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Baylor Bears | 77c | 53.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Baylor Bears | 74c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dad…3cd4backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 31c | 47.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 33c | 44.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 47c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Baylor Bears | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 48c | 41.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 41.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…3703backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 40c | 37.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…72a4backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 49c | 32.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Baylor Bears | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 46c | 31.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Baylor Bears | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…f859backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 55c | 27.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 47c | 26.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…6e74backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb776…1760backed Baylor Bears | 67c | 17.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.