Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb4ee69198da58e0acfe9e77bdc2ffa874f5a733a90237eefa9fb0a5bca39f85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzaga Bulldogsof Gonzaga Bulldogs, Washington State Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $542,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $543,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $542,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Washington State Cougars | 53c | 510,644$271,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271,046.95 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 300,003$141,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,001.62 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 149,644$70,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,311.54 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 46c | 21,378$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,478.86 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 18,283$8,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,633.21 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Washington State Cougars | 53c | 9,032$4,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,785.34 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 7,890$3,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,181.62 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 46c | 7,817$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,190.3 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 1,120$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.31 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 871.31$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.79 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Washington State Cougars | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Washington State Cougars | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.7 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Washington State Cougars | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 48c | 435.07$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.24 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 49c | 430.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.91 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75da…fc93backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 49c | 407.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.96 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Washington State Cougars | 51c | 273.83$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 45c | 267.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 211.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Washington State Cougars | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 49c | 143.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…935ebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 50c | 127.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Washington State Cougars | 51c | 118$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 51c | 94.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 48c | 89.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 48c | 72.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 44c | 63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Washington State Cougars | 47c | 55.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 49c | 50.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 43.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf300…ca70backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 42.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…6d49backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 42.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf389…e45dbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…323bbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington State Cougars | 53c | 37.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaab…8b4cbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 52c | 31.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 49c | 24.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 50c | 23.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-17.5)this page
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Washington State CougarsGonzaga Bulldogs won
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Washington State Cougars: O/U 156.5Under won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-18.5)Gonzaga Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.