TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,818
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,818 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No58c20,271$11,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,757.03850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Yes42c15,476$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,976.191241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Yes41c11,247$4,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,635.524658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed No59c10,269$6,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,058.912236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes61c10,234$6,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,981.942,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No32c7,908$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,529.845736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No38c6,748$2,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,553.622650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes43c5,820$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,320.0712950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No58c5,000$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9104658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No18c4,872$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.441,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No57c2,484$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.6568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6201566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e77…788dbacked Yes42c1,905$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.76616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Yes41c1,900$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked No59c1,900$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes42c1,885$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.3348144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes66c1,310$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.2459240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed Yes77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick70cpaid-47.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0b…f4f4backed Yes43c1,152$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes64c1,126$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.522657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No58c1,070$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.614142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No15c1,042$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.298139.5%32 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed No59c1,017$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3703938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57014249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes41c999.72$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.826851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No58c906.14$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.8813639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Yes69c844.54$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No57c752.33$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.8310152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No24c741.77$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.0417529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes40c736.69$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.6511832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No34c732.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.4896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No57c721.63$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.5822947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes63c714.29$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.298957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes66c706$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0422237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked No37c676.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.44233.3%14 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No57c666$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.6224939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes60c643.95$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.718169.1%56 W · 25 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2da2…8c2bbacked Yes71c611.45$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.32366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked No59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No51c419.65$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.7512649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e03…7f54backed Yes74c410$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No59c405$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.956949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked No25c404.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No29c394.13$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.31428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Yes71c388.83$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.762391.3%21 W · 2 L+6.4wins+0.28per pick64cpaid+48.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.1413137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5b…3ea9backed Yes42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.14771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c46…3ceebacked No59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No27c312.63$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3715045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e2…f97fbacked Yes39c307.63$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.632050%10 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18012540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17413152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Yes74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784062.5%25 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes42c293$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4727737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc39…e02fbacked Yes63c274.71$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.644100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc277…9d94backed No17c273$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.26933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes43c272.33$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2344753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No57c269.35$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.539556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed No59c260$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.45563.6%35 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.96936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.17538.7%29 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6950…86a1backed Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2964…9d6abacked Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Yes75c224.04$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.932630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No22c203.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3124849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked No60c201.88$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.13650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e83…983dbacked No60c201.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1186043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca5…08f1backed Yes42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+51%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4daa…6920backed Yes42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No59c199.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1179037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes42c198.01$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.867631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Yes41c196.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.233151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes41c185$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.441943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed No56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.22138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006036.7%22 W · 38 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ca5…a81dbacked No63c159.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.511848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28f7…614cbacked Yes41c146.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes74c146.24$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0246742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes69c145$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes72c144$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2118858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8dd…ddbcbacked No59c140$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.62070%14 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes41c140$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.619652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x554f…afb4backed Yes72c138.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.91560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes41c135.65$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6413040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes76c128.37$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3124238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6f…06bdbacked No10c125.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Yes80c123.77$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76dc…28f4backed Yes42c121.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.434100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+107.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.05757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.053148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0538739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1584…2bf3backed Yes69c103.13$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386050%30 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599944.4%44 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5615357.5%88 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.