Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5961f10f3e827435b7920bcc79572562f102d526a7c5136756ffd21c28149966
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 72c | 23,432$16,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,560.91 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 28c | 15,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 14,761$10,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.67 | 720 | 50.1%361 W · 359 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 12,546$9,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.77 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 28c | 8,929$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 6,355$4,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.97 | 2,023 | 39.4%798 W · 1,225 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 6,291$4,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.18 | 2,579 | 45.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Yes | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…d0abbacked Yes | 29c | 3,450$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 71c | 3,073$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.09 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 14c | 2,705$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.73 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 28c | 2,382$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.96 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…36c4backed Yes | 28c | 2,143$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +71%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 29c | 2,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 9c | 1,947$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.11 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 1,804$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.77 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 21c | 1,791$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,602$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.13 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…2b38backed Yes | 7c | 1,237$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 26c | 1,228$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.05 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 8c | 1,208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 72c | 1,200$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.49 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 29c | 1,066$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…8c32backed Yes | 29c | 970$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Yes | 28c | 928.57$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 825$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.49 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…763ebacked Yes | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 71c | 756.34$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.34 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 15c | 700$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…261dbacked Yes | 17c | 676.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 16c | 671.07$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…617dbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 71c | 631.03$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.47 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c1…c739backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 27c | 606$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.6 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 20c | 597.87$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 182 | 30.2%55 W · 127 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 502$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.56 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 71c | 499.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.32 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…3234backed Yes | 20c | 480$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 78c | 451.91$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes | 22c | 451.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 17c | 449.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…02fabacked Yes | 28c | 421.43$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Yes | 8c | 412.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…5cbebacked Yes | 3c | 406.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 72c | 405$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab14…c0afbacked Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 80c | 360.43$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.09 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…8c5cbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 72c | 353.96$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 71c | 353.07$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x254a…eef8backed Yes | 28c | 351.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…9847backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 29c | 343.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Yes | 10c | 341.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…7bfbbacked Yes | 28c | 328.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 29c | 300.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 71c | 299.98$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 297.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…39bdbacked Yes | 27c | 281$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 8c | 258.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd0…190abacked No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…6834backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 28c | 247.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed No | 72c | 242.14$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 71c | 239.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd8…a28ebacked Yes | 29c | 234.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 18c | 228.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -52%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1584…2bf3backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 28c | 220.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 14c | 213.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 202.42$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 431 | 58.5%252 W · 179 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 8c | 202$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…eca5backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?No won
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.