TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,495 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52d8…99aebacked No68c5,053$3,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.968463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No77c4,570$3,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No77c3,710$2,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.963759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes31c3,247$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.2719549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes22c3,070$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.8559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c2,856$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.412,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes28c2,554$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7252227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes31c2,294$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.1493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdea1…5a65backed Yes27c2,130$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.54520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-61.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No68c1,600$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.9922947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No68c1,368$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.789556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes32c1,235$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.3548144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No69c1,132$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.778457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes31c1,120$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.23622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No69c1,020$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.1713639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec32…1634backed No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…edaabacked Yes3c999.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2580%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes32c938$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.161729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc277…9d94backed Yes14c705.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.87933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No70c668.47$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.5411153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3144…25e9backed No69c639.13$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No69c518$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.581968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205125.5%13 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No69c499.99$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1534355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes31c490$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.96266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes22c487.5$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.258744.8%39 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e6…7bf4backed Yes21c457.9$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+71.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes18c452.16$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2517529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes30c449.2$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.765424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No78c407.89$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.762657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes31c395.72$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6717543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes30c381.96$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7212923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No69c362.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.325764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004734%16 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca00…2256backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2964…9d6abacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba0…5473backed Yes32c309.56$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9613040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No68c285.92$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.493647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xade6…e948backed No69c282.61$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.61683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1edb…6511backed No69c265.22$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.22540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa165…e03bbacked No69c262.32$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…625dbacked Yes21c256.25$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543250%16 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No71c229$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4144753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No79c204.74$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3511667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No80c201.5$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4746742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad2f…f350backed Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaa0…833bbacked No68c193.57$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d3…a652backed Yes25c192$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No79c184.67$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1343058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes25c175.4$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.852035%7 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes30c168$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1241943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes22c161.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355532.7%18 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes17c154.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.789124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.53060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5204…3234backed Yes26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes31c143$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.334825%12 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes24c142.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3119353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c137.31$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4952748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4e2…f97fbacked Yes13c133.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172050%10 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No71c128.37$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5320841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes20c119$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1718858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No78c116$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.824849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x438c…481abacked Yes32c109.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf58b…5f34backed Yes32c103.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3340%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…6834backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes31c99.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7826046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes29c95.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5711832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Yes32c94.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d45…6b5cbacked Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a7c…eab7backed No70c91.43$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…6a00backed Yes32c90.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes25c88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1584…2bf3backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes24c86.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.871827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1812…0db6backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253946.2%18 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x625a…7bb3backed Yes25c77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.032147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed Yes16c67.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.671540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b7a…85bfbacked Yes18c66.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe230…989cbacked Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6760…3ad4backed Yes18c58.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d1…a7ffbacked No71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.341573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108444%37 W · 47 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.517955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes31c49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1327737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c0e…551ebacked No69c37.68$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x548c…763bbacked Yes32c37.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+57.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Yes30c37.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-85%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.