Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. North Dakota State Bison
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f06f97c87ee4cfc86da778802f8d67669f1fee39db84532118d91a959f23a7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakota State Bisonof St. Thomas (MN) Tommies, North Dakota State Bison
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed2c…9597backed North Dakota State Bison | 56c | 1,449$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.55 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 72c | 1,224$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.28 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked North Dakota State Bison | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +19.3wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed North Dakota State Bison | 26c | 1,130$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.76 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 55c | 1,011$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.46 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Dakota State Bison | 49c | 816.21$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.91 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 4c | 480$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Dakota State Bison | 56c | 473.72$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.3 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 389.9$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.95 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed North Dakota State Bison | 56c | 339.29$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.29 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed North Dakota State Bison | 33c | 328.21$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.57 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 44c | 314.8$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.51 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 78c | 311$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.13 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 70c | 304.29$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 66c | 223.97$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.72 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 68c | 211.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.67 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed North Dakota State Bison | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 123 | 8.1%10 W · 113 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Dakota State Bison | 16c | 183.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.67 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed North Dakota State Bison | 16c | 175$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 126 | 17.5%22 W · 104 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 162.18$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a6…3d19backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 70c | 151.42$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed North Dakota State Bison | 20c | 119$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 38c | 105.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…d709backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed North Dakota State Bison | 60c | 94.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed North Dakota State Bison | 28c | 78.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 77.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaab…8b4cbacked North Dakota State Bison | 25c | 77.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -12.0wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…a1f9backed North Dakota State Bison | 20c | 63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed North Dakota State Bison | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 66c | 59.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 66c | 58.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked North Dakota State Bison | 60c | 50.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 68c | 49.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed North Dakota State Bison | 34c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…5cf5backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 66c | 42.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 65c | 41.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 39c | 38.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 66c | 37.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed North Dakota State Bison | 49c | 34.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 28.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 71c | 23.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. North Dakota State Bisonthis page
- Spread: North Dakota State Bison (-1.5)North Dakota State Bison won
- Spread: North Dakota State Bison (-2.5)North Dakota State Bison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.