TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,907
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,907 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes33c17,988$5,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,994.0196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No67c10,776$7,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2208941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c8,595$5,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,758.6768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No67c4,778$3,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,201.345431.5%17 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No66c4,566$3,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,020.7811153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c4,481$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.182,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No66c2,500$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65037250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c2,330$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.2998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c1,996$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.921,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No69c1,836$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.033253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes33c1,832$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.411827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No69c1,651$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1394971.4%35 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes33c1,499$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.6224939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes31c1,274$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.194030%12 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No70c1,172$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.3929862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed No67c1,157$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.19825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No71c1,000$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.263661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No69c887.45$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6102360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked No68c843$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.24944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c787$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.0348144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes29c739$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.4420431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes30c738.39$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.8746742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes32c600$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4087749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No66c580.28$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.6840549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No69c568$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.928058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No67c453.25$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.261782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes42c451.26$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.7334643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes48c417.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.962352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes35c411.43$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.437830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes33c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26816251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No53c372.96$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.674337.2%16 W · 27 L+7.4wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+285.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No48c353.64$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.3449137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes31c350$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.56731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes58c344.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.916645.5%30 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes32c336.98$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.1527737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed No69c317.55$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.11425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.59154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.031637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No71c291.66$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.0823244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes32c287.34$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.394131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53f7…2544backed Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.71837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Yes57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.275341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes38c218.13$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.366266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes28c206$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3231738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ef4fbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked No67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1347656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No67c199.24$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7411667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No68c178.62$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.462748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.445464.8%35 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked Yes32c170$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.62740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-31.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes47c170$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.255726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb253…6575backed Yes30c154$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes32c147.07$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.555836.2%21 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked No68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes41c146.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.344736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.583948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8533951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed No49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-76.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked No53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.65145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes71c119$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8726241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6513826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No57c112$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0814549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bea…6ce6backed Yes32c102$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.361573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No42c100.92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7617529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6914347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6815623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208444%37 W · 47 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes31c94.65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3114249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7510242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No62c90$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.87544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Yes31c86.48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.672626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes30c80.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Yes47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.42065%13 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd19…6910backed Yes32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.13425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1312744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b2…56febacked No43c73.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94cd…8903backed No69c72.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaab…8b4cbacked No54c68.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes47c63.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.575538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.53026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.52653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6193…592cbacked Yes31c61.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes37c61.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7612929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.612759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.26955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes69c59.85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3252748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb931…33efbacked Yes32c59.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8217538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed No53c58.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.071844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe739…6b8ebacked Yes32c53.62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No68c51.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9531441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No54c51.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.731040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206768.7%46 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.