TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-02-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$513,749
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$622,821

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,749 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed No65c118,767$76,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,071.15736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c66,530$23,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,543.832,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes35c45,603$15,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,869.1896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes36c42,632$15,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,380.9468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Yes37c30,000$11,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No62c25,070$15,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,636.629350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No63c22,419$14,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,250.091136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes38c15,783$6,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,004.111926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-53.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No65c15,000$9,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,25016045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Yes35c12,423$4,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,347.995349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No64c11,999$7,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,319.798354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes35c10,166$3,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,597.4745547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Yes36c9,115$3,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,281.382250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No63c9,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3005653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No63c8,100$5,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.975550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes36c8,035$2,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,923.198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes36c7,021$2,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,495.3922348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes37c6,850$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.55052%26 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed No61c6,773$4,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,668.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No64c6,528$4,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.996346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No64c5,070$3,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.318941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes36c3,449$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2552835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes37c3,259$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.8327737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No59c3,189$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.452748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0504245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.967332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes39c2,800$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.993243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes37c2,598$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.936323.8%15 W · 48 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No63c2,425$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.251060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No62c2,030$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.1240549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed No59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8201540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed No59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.983033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No44c1,794$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.1620431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No49c1,538$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.284744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+86.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44ee…5a77backed Yes41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3260…c210backed No62c1,350$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003030%9 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Yes37c1,100$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No46c1,077$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.4124238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34026040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41010038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes54c980$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.222373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Yes37c914.03$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.194949%24 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes37c914$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.0141943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a23…4e9fbacked Yes37c700$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes57c695.86$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No63c666$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.4212049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed8…4788backed No63c599.99$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed No62c565.65$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.411936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2106851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes33c496$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.685424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No65c464.02$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.021866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes18c450$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829154.9%50 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c425.2$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd67…bb43backed Yes37c405.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes25c400.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Yes34c386$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.24757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes30c371.78$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0549137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes35c362.88$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5516448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes39c358.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403357.6%19 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+44.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No60c354.82$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.932650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…b480backed No60c354.71$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa488…8480backed Yes41c347.42$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes57c326$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.8223244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes52c317$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.875967.8%40 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01a4…d2b5backed Yes61c312.5$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.31450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb48c…ab11backed Yes38c306.82$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes38c300.06$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1726046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes37c300.01$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.521445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe15…b171backed Yes35c288.4$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9117…cecabacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x410a…2643backed No59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes29c222.75$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5917529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb792…fa38backed No64c220.31$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.31862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed No61c213.33$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.333259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9215357.5%88 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03d1…ffaabacked Yes42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769844.9%44 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed No62c197.3$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.642250%11 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No63c190.47$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4733144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed No64c190$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.42454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes38c189.27$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9220143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked No61c181.14$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.481650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes17c177.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0426241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c173.22$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8352748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes55c169.3$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.231741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes33c166.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Yes35c157.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed No59c151.04$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.423652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked Yes37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.52740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-31.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes43c146$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4848144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf78a…51fabacked Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes37c140$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.82755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc18f…bb01backed Yes37c136.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.